Table 4.
Traditional Cox model | Competing risks model* | |
---|---|---|
Model 1 (unadjusted) | ||
Cardiovascular disease | 0.75 (0.70 to 0.81) | 0.81 (0.76 to 0.88) |
Coronary heart disease† | 0.48 (0.42 to 0.55) | 0.52 (0.46 to 0.60) |
Cerebrovascular disease‡ | 0.99 (0.88 to 1.12) | 1.15 (1.02 to 1.29) |
Heart failure | 0.83 (0.72 to 0.96) | 0.95 (0.82 to 1.09) |
Other cardiovascular death§ | 0.67 (0.45 to 1.00) | 0.79 (0.53 to 1.17) |
Non-cardiovascular death | 0.68 (0.61 to 0.75) | 0.78 (0.71 to 0.86) |
Model 2¶ | ||
Cardiovascular disease | 0.62 (0.57 to 0.67) | 0.73 (0.67 to 0.79) |
Coronary heart disease† | 0.42 (0.37 to 0.49) | 0.50 (0.43 to 0.58) |
Cerebrovascular disease‡ | 0.83 (0.73 to 0.93) | 1.06 (0.94 to 1.20) |
Heart failure | 0.62 (0.53 to 0.72) | 0.79 (0.68 to 0.93) |
Other cardiovascular death§ | 0.53 (0.35 to 0.80) | 0.72 (0.48 to 1.09) |
Non-cardiovascular death | 0.51 (0.46 to 0.57) | 0.67 (0.60 to 0.74) |
Model 3** | ||
Cardiovascular disease | 0.68 (0.62 to 0.75) | 0.76 (0.69 to 0.83) |
Coronary heart disease† | 0.45 (0.37 to 0.53) | 0.51 (0.43 to 0.60) |
Cerebrovascular disease‡ | 0.96 (0.83 to 1.11) | 1.16 (1.00 to 1.33) |
Heart failure | 0.62 (0.52 to 0.75) | 0.73 (0.61 to 0.88) |
Other cardiovascular death§ | 0.73 (0.44 to 1.19) | 0.96 (0.61 to 1.50) |
Non-cardiovascular death | 0.63 (0.55 to 0.71) | 0.76 (0.66 to 0.87) |
*Fine and Gray method for subdistribution regression with competing risks.20
†Coronary heart disease=myocardial infarction, coronary revascularisation, or death due to coronary heart disease.
‡Cerebrovascular disease=stroke, transient ischaemic attack, or carotid revascularisation.
§Other cardiovascular death=all cardiovascular mortality other than fatal coronary heart disease or stroke.
¶Adjusted for age (linear covariate) and level of education.
**Adjusted for age (linear covariate), level of education, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, concentrations of total and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, diabetes mellitus, smoking status, family history of premature myocardial infarction, body mass index, concentration of C-reactive protein, use of drugs to lower blood pressure, and use of statins.