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. 2014 Oct 27;111(45):15964–15968. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1412075111

Table 2.

Sizes of resistant clones when resistance is deleterious, neutral, or advantageous

c=(bRdR)/(bd) First clone* Second clone Third clone Fourth clone Fifth clone
0.01 0 0 0 0 0
0.1 10 6 4 2 1
0.5 27 17 13 11 10
0.7 50 26 19 15 13
0.9 103 46 30 23 18
0.95 125 54 35 26 20
1 152 63 40 29 23
1.05 186 74 45 33 25
1.1 229 87 52 37 28
*

Median number of cells in the first five successful resistant clones in a metastatic lesion with M=109 cells when resistant cells are less fit than sensitive cells (c<1), neutral (c=1), and more fit than sensitive cells (c>1). We fix the birth and death rate of sensitive cells, b=0.25 and d=0.181, and the death rate of resistant cells dR=d. We vary the relative fitness of resistant cells, c, and let the birth rate of resistant cells be bR=dR+c(bd). Mutation rate u=42×109. For c=0.1 we report simulation results, and for c>0.1, we use Eq. S13; see SI Text for details.