Official websites use .gov
A
.gov website belongs to an official
government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you've safely
connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive
information only on official, secure websites.
Epidemiologic outputs for baseline model calibration and projection without ART. (A) Posterior model calibration to adult male and female HIV prevalence and HIV prevalence among pregnant women attending ANC. (B and C) Posterior distribution in counterfactual simulation with no ART provision: (B) HIV incidence rate among adult men and women; (C) mean percentage of transmission from each stage of infection.
