Table 2.
Numerical Example | Methodological Concept(s) |
---|---|
Precision of surveillance strategies' pyramidal estimators |
The optimal allocation of resources for any pyramidal estimator can be calculated with equation 2. |
The standard error of pyramidal sCFR estimators under optimal resource allocation can be calculated with equation 4. | |
The precision of sCFR estimators increases when progression probabilities inferior to 0.11a are split in two. | |
The precision of sCFR estimators increases when multiplied progression probabilities are close to one anothera. | |
Necessary budget | The minimal necessary budget for any pyramidal estimator to reach a desired precision can be calculated with equation 5. |
The minimal necessary budget for the single-level estimator increases dramatically as the sCFR decreases. | |
Using pyramidal estimators allows a great precision gain when the sCFR is small. | |
Robustness to initial uncertainty | See “Optimization in the presence of uncertainty” in the Methods section of the text. |
Abbreviation: sCFR, symptomatic case fatality ratio.
a When recruitment costs at the concerned levels are equal.