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Median prediction errors and 90% prediction error intervals for each model summarized over all the 837 predictions the first 21 days post-transplant
| Prediction error | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | Median (%) (95% CI) | 5th percentile (%) (95% CI) | 95th percentile (%) (95% CI) |
| Empirical model (Oslo) | +1.6 (−1.2, 3.7) | −44 (−47, −36) | +57 (51, 67) |
| Empirical model (Brisbane) | +1.3 (−0.7, 3.8) | −57 (−66, −44) | +73 (62, 79) |
| Theory-based model | −1.2 (−3.0, 0.1) | −38 (−42, −32) | +47 (42, 53) |
CI, confidence interval.
