Table 3.

Median number of expected heat-related annual deaths in the 2020s, 2050s and 2080s, and excess heat-related premature deaths compared to the 1980s. Median number of expected heat-related annual deaths is calculated across the 16 global climate models (GCMs) and shown separately for the low emissions (B1) and high emissions (A2) scenarios.

City	1980s	2010-2039 (2020s)				2040-2069(2050s)				2070-2099(2080s)
		Low emissions Scenario		High emissions Scenario		Low emissions Scenario		High emissions Scenario		Low emissions Scenario		High emissions Scenario
		(B1)		(A2)		(B1)		(A2)		(B1)		(A2)
		Number of deaths	Deaths in excess of the 1980s baseline	Number of deaths	Deaths in excess of the 1980s baseline	Number of deaths	Deaths in excess of the 1980s baseline	Number of deaths	Deaths in excess of the 1980s baseline	Number of deaths	Deaths in excess of the 1980s baseline	Number of deaths	Deaths in excess of the 1980s baseline
Chicago	257	321	64	335	77	369	112	423	166	419	161	566	308
Cincinnati	14	17	3	17	3	19	4	21	6	20	6	25	11
Cleveland	41	53	11	55	13	60	19	69	28	68	27	93	51
Columbus	61	76	15	78	17	86	25	99	38	99	38	130	69
Detroit	116	148	32	152	36	168	52	185	69	187	71	250	134
Minneapolis	23	29	6	30	7	34	11	38	15	37	14	49	26
Philadelphia	278	334	56	345	67	375	97	416	138	415	137	526	248
Pittsburgh	26	33	7	34	8	37	12	43	17	43	17	56	30
Portland	62	80	18	81	19	92	30	103	41	104	42	142	80
St. Paul	19	24	5	25	6	28	9	32	13	31	11	41	22
Toledo	26	34	8	35	9	39	12	44	18	43	17	60	34
Washington	113	136	23	138	25	152	38	166	52	163	49	207	93