Table 1.
Regional and total estimates of population change, illegal killing rates, and number of elephants poached for 2010–2012
Empirical method, 12 sites |
Model-based method, 306 sites |
|||||
Region | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 |
Africa | ||||||
Population growth rate | 0.978 | 0.976 | 0.977 | 1.001 | 0.971 | 0.979 |
Poaching rate | 0.063 | 0.083 | 0.065 | 0.045 | 0.077 | 0.077 |
No. poached | 29,124 | 41,044 | 31,616 | 21,477 | 39,692 | 38,828 |
Central Africa | ||||||
Population growth rate | 0.979 | 0.795 | 0.790 | 0.969 | 0.926 | 0.932 |
Poaching rate | 0.142 | 0.248 | 0.235 | 0.100 | 0.160 | 0.177 |
No. poached | 11,228 | 21,148 | 16,148 | 7,871 | 13,649 | 13,607 |
East Africa | ||||||
Population growth rate | 0.988 | 0.988 | 0.983 | 0.994 | 0.960 | 0.979 |
Poaching rate | 0.054 | 0.054 | 0.059 | 0.042 | 0.074 | 0.059 |
No. poached | 7,187 | 7,763 | 8,695 | 5,645 | 10,631 | 8,515 |
Southern Africa | ||||||
Population growth rate | 0.978 | 0.974 | 0.980 | 1.019 | 0.996 | 0.996 |
Poaching rate | 0.064 | 0.068 | 0.062 | 0.023 | 0.046 | 0.048 |
No. poached | 15,800 | 18,176 | 16,583 | 5,740 | 12,285 | 13,303 |
The variations around these estimates are presented in SI Materials and Methods.