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. 2014 Dec 2;11(12):e1001764. doi: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1001764

Table 1. Mortality rates, rate ratios, and rate differences in NLST participants by trial arm and by decile of PLCOm2012 risk.

Category Risk Percentile
0–10 >10 to 20 >20 to 30 >30 to 40 >40 to 50 >50 to 60 >60 to 70 >70 to 80 >80 to 90 >90 to 100
CXR arm
Number of individuals in decile group 1 6 87 471 1,566 2,958 4,320 5,378 5,428 5,748
Number of deaths 0 0 0 1 7 19 35 81 135 254
Person-years of follow-up 6.67 38.21 555.29 3,062.57 10,274.54 19,309.86 28,065.96 34,721.42 34,543.86 35,454.52
Lung cancer mortality per 10,000 person-years 0 0 0 3.27 6.81 9.84 12.47 23.33 39.08 71.64
CT arm
Number of individuals in decile group 0 2 67 526 1,528 2,982 4,261 5,441 5,569 5,626
Number of deaths 0 0 0 2 5 12 35 61 106 230
Person-years of follow-up 0 13.71 427.03 3,484.44 10,005.65 19,479.05 27,763.18 35,323.81 35,690.19 35,004.87
Lung cancer mortality per 10,000 person-years NA 0 0 5.74 5.00 6.16 12.61 17.27 29.70 65.71
Rate ratio (CT mortality/CXR mortality) NA NA NA 1.76 0.73 0.62 1.01 0.74 0.76 0.92
Rate ratio 95% CI NA NA NA 0.09 to 103.71 0.18 to 2.68 0.28 to 1.36 0.61 to 1.66 0.52 to 1.04 0.58 to 0.99 0.76 to 1.10
Rate difference per 10,000 person-years * (CT mortality − CXR mortality) NA 0 0 2.48 −1.82 −3.68 0.14 −6.06 −9.38 −5.94
Rate difference 95% CI NA 0–0 0–0 −7.74 to 12.68 −8.50 to 4.87 −9.31 to 1.95 −5.74 to 6.01 −12.74 to 0.62 −18.07 to −0.70 −18.17 to 6.30

PLCOm2012 model risk decile boundaries were established in PLCO control smokers.

*Rate difference is incidence rate in CT arm per 10,000 minus incidence rate in CXR arm per 10,000. A negative absolute rate indicates a lower rate of lung cancer death in the CT arm compared to the CXR arm. PLCOm2012 refers to the lung cancer risk prediction model described in [11].

NA, not applicable (because of zero occurring in denominator).