Table 4.

Results of random effects logistic regression models predicting Mexican men's international migration before and after the onset of U.S. recession

	Before	After	difference
Age (baseline 15 to 25 years)
26 to 35 years	−0.127** (0.045)	0.119* (0.054)	**
36 to 45 years	−0.513** (0.052)	−0.140* (0.062)	**
46 to 55 years	−1.174** (0.071)	−0.637** (0.078)	**
Education (baseline less than primary)
Complete primary	0.185** (0.049)	0.244** (0.065)
Complete middle school	0.119* (0.050)	0.302** (0.064)	*
Complete high school or technical degree	−0.085 (0.061)	0.170* (0.075)	**
Complete college or more	−0.496** (0.087)	0.143 (0.092)	**
Marital status (baseline single)
Married	0.255** (0.047)	0.203** (0.056)
Cohabiting	0.248** (0.057)	0.002 (0.067)	**
Separated, divorced, or widowed	−0.046 (0.129)	−0.123 (0.139)
Born out of state	0.087 (0.045)	0.278** (0.051)	*
Employment (baseline not econ. active)
Employed informal sector	0.381** (0.048)	0.206** (0.055)	*
Employed formal sector	−0.221** (0.059)	−0.551** (0.071)	**
Unemployed	0.937** (0.075)	0.551** (0.080)	**
Household Variables
Number of household members	0.080** (0.009)	0.105** (0.011)
Number of children in household	−0.037* (0.017)	−0.116** (0.021)	**
Household income	−0.014** (0.003)	−0.025** (0.003)	*
Contextual Variables
Mean wages	−0.049** (0.005)	−0.036** (0.005)
Unemployment rate	0.052** (0.014)	0.067** (0.014)
Ave. age of men	−0.077 (0.043)	−0.209** (0.050)	*
Int. migrant networks	0.040** (0.002)	0.039** (0.003)
Urbanization (baseline <2,500)
Population 2,500 to 14,999	−0.194** (0.047)	−0.354** (0.057)	*
Population 15,000 to 99,999	−0.435** (0.058)	−0.522** (0.068)
Population ≥ 100,000	−0.718** (0.044)	−0.801** (0.051)
Region
Historic region	0.549** (0.040)	0.479** (0.048)
Border region	0.342** (0.058)	0.364** (0.069)
Border Enforcement
Staffing in Southwest sector	−0.085* (0.039)	−0.120** (0.018)
Constant	0.113 (1.382)	4.162** (1.598)
N	243,136	379,733

^*p < .05;

^**p < .01 (two-tailed tests)