Table 1.
No smoking initiation (n=18,356) | Smoking initiation (n=16,297) | Model 1a | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%/mean | CI | %/mean | CI | OR (CI 95%) | |||
Age | |||||||
18–29 | 18.39 | 17.51 | 19.30 | 14.18 | 13.43 | 14.97 | 0.62 (0.57–0.68) |
30–39 | 21.29 | 20.40 | 22.20 | 16.00 | 15.31 | 16.71 | 0.61 (0.56–0.66) |
40–49 | 21.42 | 20.66 | 22.19 | 21.60 | 20.74 | 22.47 | 0.81 (0.76–0.87) |
>=50 | 38.91 | 37.72 | 40.11 | 48.22 | 47.18 | 49.27 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) |
Race/ethnicity | |||||||
White, non-Hispanic | 64.66 | 60.58 | 68.53 | 77.48 | 75.37 | 79.47 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 12.76 | 11.23 | 14.47 | 9.25 | 8.14 | 10.49 | 0.60 (0.55–0.67) |
Native American | 1.68 | 1.34 | 2.11 | 2.72 | 2.29 | 3.23 | 1.35 (1.07–1.70) |
Asian/Pacific Islander | 6.09 | 4.86 | 7.61 | 2.36 | 1.74 | 3.21 | 0.32 (0.27–0.39) |
Hispanic | 14.81 | 11.88 | 18.31 | 8.18 | 6.82 | 9.80 | 0.46 (0.41–0.52) |
Sex | |||||||
Male | 39.08 | 38.12 | 40.05 | 57.20 | 56.18 | 58.22 | 1.00 (1.00–1.00) |
Female | 60.92 | 59.95 | 61.88 | 42.80 | 41.78 | 43.82 | 0.48 (0.45–0.51) |
Childhood | |||||||
Family history of SUD | 33.12 | 31.88 | 34.39 | 46.34 | 45.08 | 47.61 | 1.74 (1.66–1.83) |
Sexual abuse | 8.84 | 8.23 | 9.48 | 11.80 | 11.14 | 12.50 | 1.38 (1.26–1.51) |
Vulnerable family environment (mean) | 2.94 | 2.84 | 3.04 | 3.56 | 3.47 | 3.66 | 1.03 (1.03–1.04) |
Parental divorce or death | 8.70 | 8.21 | 9.23 | 10.46 | 9.93 | 11.01 | 1.23 (1.13–1.33) |
Early adolescence | |||||||
Impulsivity | 12.88 | 12.26 | 13.53 | 21.49 | 20.62 | 22.37 | 1.85 (1.72–1.99) |
Low self-esteem | 11.35 | 10.56 | 12.19 | 12.91 | 12.17 | 13.69 | 1.16 (1.06–1.27) |
Early-onset anxiety | 9.13 | 8.40 | 9.92 | 10.97 | 10.16 | 11.83 | 1.23 (1.12–1.34) |
Social devianceb (mean) | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 1.33 (1.29–1.37) |
Late adolescence | |||||||
Education years (mean) | 14.13 | 13.98 | 14.27 | 13.45 | 13.36 | 13.55 | 0.95 (0.93–0.96) |
History of trauma | 49.87 | 48.34 | 51.41 | 58.30 | 57.08 | 59.51 | 1.41 (1.33–1.48) |
Number of Axis I disorders excluding ND (mean)b | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.66 | 0.63 | 0.69 | 1.49 (1.43–1.54) |
Number of Personality disorders (mean) | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.33 | 0.49 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 1.23 (1.19–1.26) |
Adulthoodc | |||||||
Ever divorced | 27.55 | 26.68 | 28.43 | 40.81 | 39.62 | 42.01 | 1.81 (1.72–1.91) |
History of SUD | |||||||
Alcohol | 20.04 | 18.73 | 21.43 | 47.53 | 45.92 | 49.14 | 3.61 (3.36–3.89) |
Cannabis | 3.63 | 3.22 | 4.09 | 15.66 | 14.77 | 16.60 | 4.93 (4.37–5.57) |
Other drugs | 2.27 | 1.97 | 2.61 | 10.04 | 9.32 | 10.81 | 4.81 (4.18–5.54) |
Regular physical exercise | 71.04 | 69.64 | 72.41 | 70.47 | 69.42 | 71.50 | 0.97 (0.92–1.03) |
Social deviance (mean) b | 1.10 | 1.04 | 1.16 | 2.63 | 2.52 | 2.73 | 1.25 (1.23–1.27) |
Past year | |||||||
Social support (mean) | 17.28 | 17.14 | 17.43 | 17.66 | 17.54 | 17.78 | 1.01 (1.01–1.02) |
Alcohol use disorders | 6.05 | 5.53 | 6.61 | 13.48 | 12.78 | 14.21 | 2.42 (2.19–2.67) |
Cannabis use disorders | 0.62 | 0.48 | 0.79 | 2.63 | 2.31 | 3.00 | 4.35 (3.31–5.72) |
Number of Axis I disorders excluding ND (mean) | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 1.23 (1.19–1.28) |
Religious service attendance | 61.03 | 59.58 | 62.45 | 45.46 | 44.09 | 46.83 | 0.53 (0.50–0.57) |
Marital problems | 4.26 | 3.92 | 4.62 | 5.35 | 4.98 | 5.76 | 1.27 (1.13–1.43) |
Stressful life events (mean) | 1.34 | 1.30 | 1.38 | 1.60 | 1.56 | 1.65 | 1.10 (1.08–1.12) |
Independent (mean) | 0.61 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 0.75 | 0.72 | 0.77 | 1.19 (1.15–1.23) |
Dependent (mean) | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 0.81 | 0.78 | 0.83 | 1.11 (1.09–1.14) |
Social deviance (mean) b | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.66 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 1.33 (1.28–1.37) |
Bivariate model;
in early adolescence antisocial behavior before age 15; in adulthood since age 15; and past year between Wave 1 and Wave 2;
lifetime but before 12 month. OR= odds ratio; SUD= substance use disorders; ND= nicotine dependence; for continuous variables, ORs reflect the change in the odds per unit of predictor; Significant results are bolded (p<0.05).