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. 2014 May 23;16(12):1068–1073. doi: 10.1111/hpb.12275

Table 5.

Simulated change in O/E ratios based on per cent of cases coded as contaminated, for various baseline performance

Per cent cases coded as contaminated (versus clean-contaminated) Hypothetical baseline O/E performance
Percent change in O/E ratio
High performer 0.67 Average performer 1.0 Poor performer 1.5
0% 0.69 1.03 1.54 2.1%
6.8% (baseline) 0.67 1.00 1.50 0.0%
10% 0.66 0.99 1.48 −0.8%
20% 0.65 0.97 1.46 −3.6%
30% 0.64 0.96 1.43 −6.2%
40% 0.63 0.94 1.41 −8.6%
50% 0.62 0.92 1.39 −11.0%
60% 0.61 0.91 1.36 −13.2%
70% 0.60 0.90 1.34 −15.3%

Modelled based on observed rates of SSI and wound classification reporting for HPB cases in NSQIP; changes in O/E ratio reflect approximate changes predicted using traditional NSQIP logistic regression risk-adjustment model.

SSI, surgical site infection; O/E ratio, observed-to-expected ratio.