Table 2.
Distribution of observed (1990–2007), historical simulated (1990–2007), and future simulated (2020–2037) average daily mean temperatures (°C) (n = 1,656 days).
| Time period, quantile | Observed | Simulated [average (range)] | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uncorrecteda | DT-correcteda | ||
| 1990–2007 | |||
| Minimum | 9.6 | 4.55 (3.96–8.08) | 7.62 (5.75–9.23) |
| 1% | 12.5 | 7.41 (6.94–7.99) | 11.46 (10.58–12.36) |
| 5% | 15.0 | 9.80 (8.94–10.22) | 14.02 (13.61–14.66) |
| 25% | 18.3 | 13.57 (13.17–13.89) | 17.68 (17.33–18.03) |
| 50% | 20.5 | 16.56 (16.01–17.03) | 20.22 (19.91–20.54) |
| 75% | 22.7 | 19.32 (18.79–20.06) | 22.59 (22.42–22.89) |
| 95% | 24.5 | 23.71 (23.10–24.13) | 25.62 (25.04–26.13) |
| 99% | 27.4 | 26.27 (25.44–27.82) | 27.72 (26.84–28.83) |
| Maximum | 29.2 | 28.77 (27.74–30.09) | 31.37 (28.81–37.29) |
| Average | 20.4 | 16.57 (16.02–16.97) | 20.06 (19.85–20.34) |
| SD | 3.2 | 4.21 (4.08–4.36) | 3.56 (3.33–3.76) |
| 2020–2037 | |||
| Minimum | NA | 5.50 (3.78–8.65) | 8.15 (5.24–10.48) |
| 1% | NA | 8.43 (8.08–8.86) | 12.07 (11.31–12.92) |
| 5% | NA | 10.55 (10.16–11.02) | 14.69 (13.91–15.38) |
| 25% | NA | 14.38 (13.78–14.90) | 18.47 (17.92–18.92) |
| 50% | NA | 17.68 (17.12–18.09) | 21.10 (20.30–21.59) |
| 75% | NA | 20.70 (20.14–21.05) | 23.57 (22.74–24.22) |
| 95% | NA | 24.80 (23.87–25.44) | 26.58 (25.48–27.18) |
| 99% | NA | 29.27 (28.32–30.65) | 28.76 (27.37–29.89) |
| Maximum | NA | 29.71 (28.12–32.18) | 32.21 (29.39–35.75) |
| Average | NA | 17.62 (17.27–17.89) | 20.94 (20.31–21.32) |
| SD | NA | 4.33 (4.25–4.39) | 3.66 (3.39–3.89) |
| NA, not applicable. aAverage (range) of the 32 simulations. | |||