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. 2014 Dec;20(12):2055–2063. doi: 10.3201/eid2012.131820

Table 3. Household level model of observation, initial infestation, treatment, and residual infestation during treatment phase of a Chagas disease vector campaign, Arequipa, Peru, 2003–2011*.

Treatment received Observed infestation Estimated initial prevalence Estimated residual prevalence
I and II
pI/II = nI/II/TI//II rI/II = pI/II × (1 – c)2



I only
OI+IIØ = nI × s
pI = nI/TI
rI = pI × (1 – c)
II only
OIØII+ = nII × s
pII = nII/TII
rII = pII × (1 – c)
None   Not observed pØ = pII rØ = pØ

*Upper case letters refer to observed quantities. Lower case letters refer to estimated quantities. OIxIIy, number of infested households observed in the first (Ix) and second (IIy) step of the treatment phase, with x and y taking the following values: , no treatment and infestation could not be observed; +, treated and observed infested; –, treated and observed noninfested. For nz, pz, Tz, and rz, the subscript z corresponds to the participation in treatments: I, only first; II, only second; I/II, both; nz, estimated number of infested households; pz, estimated initial prevalence of infestation; Tz, total number of households; rz, estimated residual prevalence of infestation post treatment phase; s, sensitivity of technicians performing treatment to household infestation; c, probability of clearing infestation when treated. Further details and the solved system of equations have been provided by the authors (http://www.spatcontrol.net/articles/Barbu2014/suppMet.pdf).