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. 2014 Apr 26;20(11):3313–3328. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12581

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© 2014 The Authors. Global Change Biology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.

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Fig 1 — The effect of changes in temperature distribution on extremes. Different changes of temperature distributions between present and future climate and their effects on extreme values of the distributions: (a) Effects of a simple shift of the entire distribution towards a warmer climate; (b) effects of an increase in temperature variability with no shift of the mean; (c) effects of an altered shape of the distribution, in this example a change in asymmetry towards the hotter part of the distribution. From IPCC (2012).