Table 2. Age-adjusted mortality rates (per 100,000, world standard), for all causes and specific causes, and Annual Percent Changes (APC) between Join Points (JP) in Italian males (A) and females (B) aged 50–69 years during the period 1901–2008.
Causes of death | 1901–2008 APC | Start (year) | APC1 (95% CI) | 1st JP (year) | APC2 (95% CI) | 2nd JP (year) | APC3 (95% CI) | 3rd JP (year) | APC4 (95% CI) | End (year) |
A. Males | ||||||||||
ALL | −0.9* | 446.2 (1901) | −0.6* (−0.6, −0.5) | 259.6 (1984) | −3.1* (−3.4, −2.8) | 126.6 (2008) | ||||
RESP | −2.9* | 109.8 (1901) | −1.5* (−1.9, −1.1) | 62.9 (1939) | −7.8* (−9.7, −5.8) | 21.5 (1952) | +1.9* (+0.5, +3.3) | 37.3 (1969) | −4.9* (−5.3, −4.6) | 4.0 (2008) |
DIG | −1.0* | 40.7 (1901) | −2.7* (−4.0, −1.4) | 27.8 (1913) | −0.3* (−0.6, −0.1) | 25.1 (1955) | +1.0* (+0.4, +1.5) | 29.5 (1978) | −5.1* (−5.4, −4.8) | 7.0 (2008) |
INF | −3.7* | 36.4 (1901) | −0.3* (−0.5, −0.1) | 33.9 (1944) | −4.2* (−5.0, −3.5) | 12.7 (1963) | −9.0* (−9.4, −8.6) | 0.9 (1991) | +5.2* (+4.3, +6.1) | 1.9 (2008) |
CV | −0.5* | 73.9 (1901) | +0.9* (+0.2, +1.5) | 91.2 (1918) | −5.5* (−9.1, −1.7) | 55.5 (1924) | +0.8* (+0.7, +0.9) | 85.3 (1977) | −3.8* (−4.0, −3.5) | 26.5 (2008) |
CBV | −1.8* | 45.4 (1901) | +0.6* (+0.5, +0.8) | 55.8 (1931) | −1.3* (−1.4, −1.1) | 37.8 (1962) | −2.2* (−2.5, −1.8) | 22.9 (1981) | −5.4* (−5.6, −5.2) | 5.6 (2008) |
TUM | +1.2* | 27.7 (1901) | +0.8* (+0.6, +1.0) | 36.5 (1929) | +2.1* (+2.0, +2.3) | 82.2 (1965) | +1.0* (+0.7, +1.3) | 101.9 (1988) | −2.6* (−2.9, −2.2) | 61.3 (2008) |
ACC | −0.6* | 14.0 (1901) | +0.7* (+0.5, +0.9) | 29.4 (1945) | −5.7 (−26.8, +21.5) | 15.0 (1948) | +0.5 (−0.1, +1.0) | 18.2 (1972) | −2.8* (−3.1, −2.5) | 6.4 (2008) |
END | −0.9#* | 11.8 (1951) | −7.1* (−9.1, −5.1) | 6.6 (1959) | −1.8* (−2.5, −1.2) | 5.3 (1978) | +7.1 (−3.0, +18.3) | 6.8 (1982) | −1.0*(−1.4, −0.6) | 5.6 (2008) |
NS | −0.8#* | 5.6 (1951) | −3.7* (−4.3, −3.2) | 2.7 (1968) | +0.6 (−0.1, +1.2) | 3.4 (1985) | −0.5* (−0.9, −0.1) | 2.8 (2008) | ||
B. Females | ||||||||||
ALL | −1.7* | 402.8 (1901) | −1.0* (−1.1, −0.8) | 276.3 (1941) | −2.1* (−2.2, −2.0) | 65.7 (2008) | ||||
RESP | −4.1* | 89.4 (1901) | −1.6* (−2.1, −1.1) | 49.6 (1938) | −9.0* (−11.3, −6.7) | 12.3 (1952) | −3.7* (−3.9, −3.4) | 1.8 (2008) | ||
DIG | −1.6* | 28.5 (1901) | −3.2* (−3.8, −2.5) | 10.1 (1924) | +12.4 (−15.9, +50.1) | 20.0 (1927) | −1.4* (−1.5, −1.2) | 8.3 (1986) | −4.7* (−5.3, −4.8) | 3.1 (2008) |
INF | −4.4* | 28.9 (1901) | −1.0* (−1.3, −0.8) | 17.7 (1945) | −12.0* (−16.8, −6.9) | 6.5 (1952) | −7.2* (−7.6, −6.9) | 0.5 (1989) | +5.5* (+4.4, +6.5) | 1.0 (2008) |
CV | −2.0* | 92.2 (1901) | −0.9* (−1.0, −0.8) | 60.9 (1957) | −2.3* (−2.9, −1.8) | 36.9 (1976) | −4.3* (−4.5, −4.1) | 8.4 (2008) | ||
CBV | −2.3* | 32.5 (1901) | +0.6* (+0.5, +0.8) | 46.6 (1932) | −1.1* (−1.5, −0.7) | 39.5 (1950) | −3.0* (−3.2, −2.9) | 14.6 (1980) | −5.6* (−5.8, −5.4) | 3.2 (2008) |
TUM | +0.1* | 33.6 (1901) | +0.5* (+0.4, +0.6) | 48.2 (1962) | −0.1 (−0.4, +0.2) | 47.8 (1987) | −1.2* (−1.5, −0.8) | 37.7 (2008) | ||
ACC | −0.4* | 4.6 (1901) | −0.1 (−0.4, +0.1) | 3.9 (1950) | +0.7* (+0.2, +1.2) | 5.3 (1980) | −3.4* (−3.9, −2.8) | 1.9 (2008) | ||
END | −1.9#* | 9.7 (1951) | −4.5* (−6.3, −2.7) | 7.1 (1960) | +5.0 (−14.5, +29.0) | 8.2 (1963) | −1.4* (−1.8, −0.9) | 5.7 (1987) | −3.2* (−3.7, −2.7) | 3.0 (2008) |
NS | −0.6#* | 3.8 (1951) | −5.6* (−7.6, −3.5) | 2.5 (1958) | −1.7* (−2.2, −1.2) | 1.8 (1977) | +1.7* (+0.2, +3.3) | 2.2 (1987) | −0.4 (−0.8, +0.1) | 2.1 (2008) |
*P<0.05; #Period 1951–2008.