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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2014 Dec 9.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Rev Rheumatol. 2014 Apr 1;10(7):403–412. doi: 10.1038/nrrheum.2014.36

Table 2. Examples of risk factor paradoxes in nonrheumatic disease contexts.

Risk factor paradox Associations in the general population Associations in the index population
Smoking paradox Risk of incident CAD ↓ Risk of hospital mortality in patients with CAD28
Obesity paradox Risk of incident CAD ↓ Risk of cardiovascular-specifc mortality in patients with CAD29,30
Aspirin paradox Risk of incident COPD ↓ Mortality in patients with COPD65
Thrombophilia paradox Risk of incident CHD ↓ Risk of recurrent CHD events in patients with CHD66
PFO paradox Risk of incident VTE ↔ Risk of recurrent VTE in patients with incident VTE35
Low birth-weight paradox Risk of incident stroke Risk of low-birth weight baby ↔ Risk of recurrent stroke in patients with incident stroke31,32↓ Mortality in low-birth weight babies36
Apolipoprotein E4 allele Risk of incident Alzheimer disease ↓ Risk of Alzheimer disease progression33,34

Abbreviations: CAD, coronary artery disease; CHD, coronary heart disease; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; PFO, patent foramen ovale; VTE, venous thrombotic embolism.