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. 2015 Jan 7;282(1798):20141069. doi: 10.1098/rspb.2014.1069

Figure 4.

Figure 4.

Effect of vaccine humoral response on optimal epsilon. Sexual behaviour groups: superspreaders (yellow), casual (purple) and short (red). (a) The oncogene expression needed for persistent circulation, Inline graphic, with respect to the strength of the antibody response, δvac. Generally, Inline graphic increases with a stronger humoral response. Note that above each line are ɛ values that can also circulate (with R0 values more than 1). (b) The derivative at Inline graphic for various δvac. The strength of selection for higher epsilon is stronger in immunodeficient hosts (dashed lines) in both casual and superspreader groups. Higher δvac implies slower selection towards Inline graphic. (c) The effect of vaccine-induced clearance time on optimal epsilon. Each line represents the oncogene expression needed for persistent circulation, Inline graphic, in a particular sex group, thus the shaded region above represents ɛ values that have R0 values higher than 1. The oncogene expression needed for Inline graphic in the vaccinated host depends on how quickly vaccine-induced clearance happens. At Z0 = 10−4, the vaccinated host sheds virus for about 150 days, and at Z0 = 1 the vaccinated host shed the virus for 50 days. For all three sexual behaviour groups, if the challenge infection is cleared quickly (high Z0) then a higher Inline graphic is favoured, but if the infection is cleared in under 50 days then even high oncogene expression cannot help the virus from escaping the vaccine.