Table 4.

Predictive validity estimates of scales at Wave 1 with past-month alcohol use at Wave 3 [6-month time lag] for full sample and by race/ethnicity

		Race/ethnicity
Scale	Full sample r [95% CI] (n = 1,602)	AI r [95% CI] (n = 343)	AI and White r [95% CI] (n = 301)	White r [95% CI] (n = 762)	Group diff. p
Alcohol Availabilitya	.21 [.16, .26]	.22 [.12, .33]	.30 [.19, .40]	.20 [.13, .27]	.30
Drinking Places	.46 [.42, .50]	.41 [.31, .49]	.61 [.53, .68]	.44 [.38, .49]	<.01
Alcohol Acquisition	.38 [.34, .42]	.36 [.26, .45]	.53 [.45, .61]	.36 [.29, .42]	<.01
Police Enforcementb	-.14 [-.19, -.10]	-.14 [-.24, -.03]	-.12 [-.23, -.01]	-.17 [-.24, -.10]	.70
Alcohol Norms	.35 [.30, .39]	.44 [.35, .52]	.29 [.18, .39]	.32 [.26, .39]	.03
Alcohol Expectancies	.26 [.21, .31]	.23 [.13, .33]	.29 [.18, .39]	.29 [.22, .35]	.56
Social Support	-.09 [-.13, -.04]	-.03 [-.13, .08]	.11 [-.22, .01]	-.15 [-.22, -.08]	.11
Parent Communication	-.08 [-.13, -.03]	-.04 [-.15, .07]	-.1 [-.12, .10]	-.11 [-.18, -.04]	.20
DUI Risk	.27 [.22, .31]	.25 [.14, .34]	.41 [.31, .50]	.26 [.19, .32]	.02
Alcohol Consequences	.38 [.34, .42]	.30 [.20, .39]	.42 [.33, .51]	.42 [.36, .48]	.03
Adult Problems	.03 [-.02, .08]	.04 [-.08, .14]	-.03 [-.15, .09]	.07 [-.01, .14]	.30
Early Alcohol Risk	.44 [.40, .48]	.47 [.39, .55]	.40 [.30, .50]	.45 [.38, .50]	.47
Socioeconomic Status	-.01, [-.06, .05]	.02 [-.10, .14]	.14 [.01, .26]	-.08 [-.15, .00]	<.01
Discriminationc	.07 [.01, .12]	.12 [.00, .23]	.03 [-.09, .15]	.08 [.00, .15]	.50
Depression	.01 [-.04, .06]	.02 [-.09, .13]	-.04 [-.15, .08]	.06 [-.02, .13]	.34
AI Cultural Identity	-.04 [-.10, .01]	-.04 [-.15, .08]	.07 [-.06, .19]	-.10 [-.18, -.03]	.03
White Cultural Identity	.04 [-.01, .09]	.08 [-.04, .19]	.09 [-.04, .21]	.01 [-.07, .08]	.32

Notes: Full sample includes n = 196 students who were missing or other race/ethnicity. AI = American Indian; CI = confidence interval; diff. = differences; DUI: driving under the influence of alcohol.

^aAlcohol availability = perceived alcohol availability;

^bpolice enforcement = perceived police enforcement;

^cdiscrimination = racial discrimination.