Table 4.
Performance measures (prediction of six-month unfavourable outcome) | AUC VAL (CI 95%) | AUC REFIT | Slope | Intercept | P- value* |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
IMPACT Core Model | 0.8 (0.76-0.84) | 0.82 | 1.073 | -0.354 | 0.93 |
IMPACT Extended Model | 0.81 (0.77-0.86) | 0.87 | 1.061 | -0.506 | 0.65 |
CRASH Basic Model | 0.8 (0.75-0.84) | 0.82 | 0.871 | -0.505 | Reference |
Nijmegen Demographic and Clinical Model | 0.82 (0.77-0.87) | 0.83 | 0.865 | -0.738 | 0.47 |
Performance measures (prediction of six-month mortality) | AUC VAL | AUC REFIT | Slope | Intercept | P- value* |
IMPACT Core Model | 0.84 (0.8-0.87) | 0.86 | 1.381 | -0.211 | 0.55 |
IMPACT Extended Model | 0.85 (0.81-0.89) | 0.9 | 1.323 | -0.243 | 0.32 |
CRASH Basic Model | 0.82 (0.77-0.87) | 0.85 | 0.866 | 0.207 | Reference |
Nijmegen Demographic and Clinical Model | 0.86 (0.82-0.91) | 0.87 | 0.984 | -0.289 | 0.19 |
AUC VAL = Area under the curve of external validation; AUC REFIT = Area under the curve of the refitted models; CI = Confidence Interval.
*P value refers to difference between AUC VAL: The model with the lowest AUCVAL was taken as a reference and tested with all other AUCVAL.