Table 4.
Marginal likelihoods and their Monte Carlo error as well as the test statistic 2 × ln BF for several taxonomic hypotheses, tested separately for each marker. The compared hypotheses (unconstrained vs. alternative) are arranged in rows. 2 × ln BFunconstrained vs. aiternative < −10 is regarded as strong support against the alternative hypothesis.
| Unconstrained | Monophyletic genus Melampodium |
Monophyletic sect. Melampodium |
Monophyletic sect. Zarabellia |
Monophyletic sect. Alcina |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITS | |||||
| Marginal likelihood | −8621.74 (±0.40) | −8636.06 (±0.38) | −8648.73 (±0.37) | −8633.86 (±0.39) | −8650.60 (±0.37) |
| 2× Ln BF | – | −28.64 | −53.98 | −24.24 | −57.72 |
| matK | |||||
| Marginal likelihood | −7834.09 (±0.27) | −7834.67 (±0.30) | – | – | −7892.39 (±0.32) |
| 2× Ln BF | – | −1.16 | – | – | −116.60 |