Table 4. Model selection for multi-state reproductive model analysis of grizzly bears in Alberta, Canada.
No | Reproduction | Survival | AICc | ΔAICc | wi | K | Deviance |
Survival covariates | |||||||
1 | NC(age) CY YT | (NT CY) +roads | 559.6 | 0.00 | 0.327 | 10 | 538.0 |
2 | NC(age) CY YT | (NT CY) +roads+age | 560.2 | 0.61 | 0.241 | 11 | 536.3 |
3 | NC(age) CY YT | NT CY +roads | 561.1 | 1.51 | 0.154 | 10 | 539.6 |
4 | NC(age) CY YT | NT +roads CY+roads | 561.8 | 2.20 | 0.109 | 11 | 537.9 |
5 | NC(age) CY YT | NT C+roads Y+roads | 563.4 | 3.80 | 0.049 | 11 | 539.5 |
Age-specific reproduction A | |||||||
6 | NC(age) CY YT | (NT CY) +age | 563.3 | 3.68 | 0.052 | 10 | 541.7 |
7 | NC(age) CY(age) YT | (NT CY) +age | 565.2 | 5.63 | 0.020 | 11 | 541.3 |
8 | NC(age2) CY YT | (NT CY) +age | 565.4 | 5.82 | 0.018 | 10 | 543.9 |
9 | NC(age) CY YT | (NT CY) | 565.9 | 6.30 | 0.014 | 9 | 546.6 |
10 | NC(age) CY(age) YT | NT+age CY+age | 567.2 | 7.58 | 0.007 | 12 | 540.9 |
11 | NC(age) CY(age) YT(age) | (NT CY) +age | 567.6 | 7.98 | 0.006 | 12 | 541.3 |
Base models | |||||||
12 | NC CY YT CC = YC = TC | NT CY | 570.7 | 11.04 | 0.001 | 8 | 553.6 |
13 | NC CY YT CC = YC = TC | NT T Y | 571.2 | 11.63 | 0.001 | 9 | 552.0 |
14 | NC CY YT CC = YC = TC | C Y NT | 571.8 | 12.20 | 0.001 | 9 | 552.5 |
15 | NC CY YT CC = TC YC | NT CY | 572.8 | 13.15 | 0.000 | 11 | 548.9 |
16 | NC CY YT CC TC YC | N C Y T | 572.8 | 13.22 | 0.000 | 9 | 553.6 |
Sample-size adjusted Akaike Information Criteria (AICc), difference in AICc between most supported and given model (ΔAICc), Akaike weight (wi), the number of parameters (K), and Deviance are shown.
A model with CC = YC = TC was used for all models in this group.