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. 2014 Jul 25;26(1):183–191. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2013111236

Table 5.

Sensitivity analyses showing the difference in life years in models that vary AV fistula and AV graft success and patency probability

Model Patient Base Case AVF Initial Success Rate (%) Survival Difference between AVF and AVG in Life Years
Base Case (AVF − AVG) AVF Initial Success 20% Less Likely AVF Initial Success 20% More Likely AVG Long-Term Patency Improved by 50% AVF Long-Term Patency Worsened by 50% AVF and AVG Maturation Time Both 90 d
40-yr-old nondiabetic man 86 2.59 2.04 2.82 2.46 2.22 2.60
40-yr-old nondiabetic woman 75 1.67 0.88 2.03 1.48 1.39 1.65
40-yr-old diabetic man 78 1.06 0.83 1.20 1.04 0.99 1.09
40-yr-old diabetic woman 63 0.35 −0.004 0.52 0.27 0.24 0.30
60-yr-old nondiabetic man 77 1.25 0.88 1.37 1.20 1.16 1.23
60-yr-old nondiabetic woman 62 0.52 0.08 0.85 0.49 0.45 0.55
60-yr-old diabetic man 66 0.44 0.31 0.49 0.43 0.41 0.44
60-yr-old diabetic woman 49 −0.001 −0.13 0.09 −0.01 −0.03 −0.021
80-yr-old nondiabetic man 66 0.48 0.29 0.58 0.47 0.46 0.46
80-yr-old nondiabetic woman 48 0.08 −0.12 0.24 0.07 0.07 0.10
80-yr-old diabetic man 52 0.17 0.11 0.19 0.15 0.16 0.16
80-yr-old diabetic woman 35 −0.03 −0.06 −0.01 −0.05 −0.05 −0.03

AVF, AV fistula; AVG, AV graft.