Table 5.
Model Patient | Base Case AVF Initial Success Rate (%) | Survival Difference between AVF and AVG in Life Years | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Base Case (AVF − AVG) | AVF Initial Success 20% Less Likely | AVF Initial Success 20% More Likely | AVG Long-Term Patency Improved by 50% | AVF Long-Term Patency Worsened by 50% | AVF and AVG Maturation Time Both 90 d | ||
40-yr-old nondiabetic man | 86 | 2.59 | 2.04 | 2.82 | 2.46 | 2.22 | 2.60 |
40-yr-old nondiabetic woman | 75 | 1.67 | 0.88 | 2.03 | 1.48 | 1.39 | 1.65 |
40-yr-old diabetic man | 78 | 1.06 | 0.83 | 1.20 | 1.04 | 0.99 | 1.09 |
40-yr-old diabetic woman | 63 | 0.35 | −0.004 | 0.52 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.30 |
60-yr-old nondiabetic man | 77 | 1.25 | 0.88 | 1.37 | 1.20 | 1.16 | 1.23 |
60-yr-old nondiabetic woman | 62 | 0.52 | 0.08 | 0.85 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 0.55 |
60-yr-old diabetic man | 66 | 0.44 | 0.31 | 0.49 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.44 |
60-yr-old diabetic woman | 49 | −0.001 | −0.13 | 0.09 | −0.01 | −0.03 | −0.021 |
80-yr-old nondiabetic man | 66 | 0.48 | 0.29 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.46 |
80-yr-old nondiabetic woman | 48 | 0.08 | −0.12 | 0.24 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
80-yr-old diabetic man | 52 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
80-yr-old diabetic woman | 35 | −0.03 | −0.06 | −0.01 | −0.05 | −0.05 | −0.03 |
AVF, AV fistula; AVG, AV graft.