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. 2015 Jan 8;9(1):e3388. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0003388

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(a)-(c) and (d)-(f), simulations of the populations of infectious livestock and vectors in patches 1–3, respectively. The starting time of festival preparation varies from 2, 3, to 4 weeks ago (n = days), represented by solid, dashed and dotted lines, respectively. Values of other parameters are identical with those used in Fig. 3 and . Unit: daily. When the preparation starts early, we are expecting a larger scale of disease outbreaks due to the higher concentration of livestock, larger scale infectious population appear in patches 1 and 3. However, less number of infectious individuals exist due to the exposed period in patch 2.

Inline graphic — (a)-(c) and (d)-(f), simulations of the populations of infectious livestock and vectors in patches 1–3, respectively. The starting time of festival preparation varies from 2, 3, to 4 weeks ago (n = days), represented by solid, dashed and dotted lines, respectively. Values of other parameters are identical with those used in Fig. 3 and . Unit: daily. When the preparation starts early, we are expecting a larger scale of disease outbreaks due to the higher concentration of livestock, larger scale infectious population appear in patches 1 and 3. However, less number of infectious individuals exist due to the exposed period in patch 2.