Table 1.
Parameter estimates (95% credible interval, CI) for the two highest-ranked models explaining the probability that a potential mating event was realized. See text for explanation of the variables. CIs are based 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles from 10 000 MCMC resampling from the posterior distribution of the parameter estimates.
| parameter name | model 1 (ΔAICc = 0.00) | model 2 (ΔAICc = 0.08) |
|---|---|---|
| intercept | 4.392 (1.037; 7.842) | 4.421 (0.994; 7.792) |
| fmating | –28.560 (–51.828; –5.211) | –27.980 (–51.051; –4.684) |
| ASR | –5.830 (–10.588; –1.094) | –5.717 (–10.421; –0.872) |
| Nadult | –0.253 (–0.375; –0.135) | –0.231 (–0.346; –0.115) |
| agemales | 0.190 (–0.061; 0.450) | — |
| fmating * ASR | 31.368 (–0.727; 63.317) | 31.538 (–0.729; 643.462) |
| fmating * Nadult | 1.122 (0.308; 1.929) | 1.096 (0.284; 1.895) |
| ASR * Nadult | 0.200 (0.048; 0.354) | 0.192 (0.037; 0.343) |
| fmating * ASR * Nadult | –1.241 (–2.311; –0.164) | –1.240 (–2.293; –0.159) |