Table 5.
Model | Bézier approximation score | Harmonic mean | Model rank | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ln (mL) | LBF | Model rank | ln (mL) | LBF | ||
M0: no migration | −313,478 | 284,888 | 3 | −24,451 | 21,324 | 3 |
M1: migration from Alejandro Selkirk to Robinson Crusoe | −29,489 | 899 | 2 | −5,894 | 2,767 | 2 |
M2: migration from Robinson Crusoe to Alejandro Selkirk | −28,590 | 0 | 1 | −3,127 | 0 | 1 |
The model rank with 1 is the preferred model
ln (mL) log marginal likelihoods, LBF log Bayes factor [=ln (marginal likelihood of M0) − ln (marginal likelihood of Mn)]