Table 2.
Model Parameters and the Range of Values Tested in Sensitivity Analyses
| Model Input | Base‐Case | Range | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cost inputs (2011 CNY) | |||
| Additional cost of 90‐day clopidogrel‐aspirin regimen | 1990 | 210 to 2388 | 22 |
| One‐time hospitalization costs | |||
| Ischemic stroke, mRS 0 to 2 | 9866 | 5542 to 12519 | CNSR14 |
| Ischemic stroke, mRS 3 to 5 or 6 | 13081 | 7383 to 17114 | |
| ICH, mRS 0 to 2 | 11118 | 5932 to 13902 | |
| ICH, mRS 3 to 5 or 6 | 14760 | 7665 to 19438 | |
| MI | 16793 | 6545 to 29434 | 14 |
| Major ECH | 7203 | 4391 to 14468 | |
| Annual posthospitalization costs | |||
| Stroke, mRS 0 to 2 | 6920 | 1728 to 8639 | CNSR |
| Stroke, mRS 3 to 5 | 10932 | 3240 to 14255 | |
| Utility inputs | |||
| Minor or no disability (mRS 0 to 2) | 0.75 | 0.70 to 0.90 | 18–19,23,25 |
| Moderate disability (mRS 3 to 4) | 0.39 | 0.10 to 0.50 | |
| Severe disability (mRS 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 to 0.32 | |
| Death (mRS 6) | 0 | 0.00 to 0.00 | |
| Utility of major ECH | 0.80 | 0.79 to 0.84 | 18–20 |
| Utility of MI | 0.84 | 0.67 to 0.96 | 18–19,21 |
| Probabilities inputs | |||
| Recurrent rate of stroke (per patient year) | 0.1219 | 0.1163 to 0.1276 | CNSR12 |
| Among patients with recurrent stroke, proportion with: | CNSR12 | ||
| ICH | 0.075 | 0.075 to 0.146 | |
| Death | 0.1933 | 0.1737 to 0.2128 | |
| Relative risk of stroke recurrence per life‐year | 1.017 | 1.013 to 1.022 | CNSR |
| Age‐specific nonstroke death rate* | 0.0089 to 0.1654 | 13–14 | |
| Rate of major ECH | 0.0038 | 0.0030 to 0.0048 | 15–16 |
| Mortality rate of major ECH | 0.06 | 16 | |
| Rate of MI | 0.0085 | 0.0060 to 0.0114 | 15–16 |
| Mortality rate of fatal MI | 0.150 | 0.103 to 0.246 | 15,17 |
| Discount rate inputs | |||
| Costs | 0.03 | 0.03 to 0.08 | 23 |
| Outcomes | 0.03 | ±20% | 23 |
All costs were converted to 2011 CNY by using the medical care component of consumer price index; to convert CNY to US dollars, divide by 6.5. CNY indicates Chinese Yuan Renminbi; mRS, modified Rankin Score; CNSR, China National Stroke Registry; MI, myocardial infarction; ECH, extracranial hemorrhage; ICH, intracerebral hemorrhage.
Age‐specific nonstroke death rate for only the number of 63‐year‐olds (0.0089) and 93‐year‐olds (0.1654) is presented.