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. 2014 Jul 10;26(2):484–492. doi: 10.1681/ASN.2013080816

Table 5.

Prognostic value of baseline lipid concentrations on risk of end point occurrence obtained by recurrent events time-to-event analysis

End point HDL Cholesterol ApoA1 ApoA2 ApoC3
HR (95% CI)a P Valueb HR (95% CI)a P Valueb HR (95% CI)a P Valueb HR (95% CI)a P Valueb
Combined vascular end pointc
 Q2 1.02 (0.80 to 1.31) 0.85 1.14 (0.90 to 1.44) 0.29 0.78 (0.61 to 1.00) 0.05 0.94 (0.74 to 1.19) 0.60
 Q3 0.96 (0.75 to 1.23) 0.75 0.93 (0.72 to 1.20) 0.58 0.94 (0.74 to 1.20) 0.61 0.98 (0.77 to 1.24) 0.87
 Q4 1.06 (0.83 to 1.35) 0.65 0.93 (0.73 to 1.19) 0.57 0.74 (0.58 to 0.96) 0.02 0.93 (0.73 to 1.19) 0.58
 Overalld 0.88 0.33 0.05 0.93
Cardiac death
 Q2 0.99 (0.71 to 1.39) 0.97 1.16 (0.84 to 1.62) 0.37 0.76 (0.54 to 1.07) 0.12 0.95 (0.67 to 1.35) 0.78
 Q3 0.82 (0.58 to 1.18) 0.29 0.96 (0.67 to 1.31) 0.80 0.84 (0.59 to 1.18) 0.31 1.21 (0.87 to 1.70) 0.26
 Q4 1.03 (0.74 to 1.43) 0.88 0.92 (0.65 to 1.31) 0.65 0.64 (0.45 to 0.93) 0.02 0.85 (0.59 to 1.23) 0.39
 Overall 0.62 0.54 0.11 0.21
Sudden cardiac death
 Q2 0.92 (0.59 to 1.43) 0.71 0.86 (0.55 to 1.34) 0.50 0.60 (0.39 to 0.94) 0.02 0.95 (0.60 to 1.50) 0.82
 Q3 0.78 (0.49 to 1.25) 0.30 0.99 (0.63 to 1.55) 0.98 0.69 (0.44 to 1.07) 0.10 1.23 (0.79 to 1.90) 0.36
 Q4 1.13 (0.74 to 1.73) 0.56 0.95 (0.61 to 1.47) 0.82 0.61 (0.39 to 0.97) 0.04 0.84 (0.52 to 1.35) 0.46
 Overall 0.43 0.91 0.09 0.36
Nonfatal MI
 Q2 1.16 (0.74 to 1.82) 0.51 1.13 (0.73 to 1.75) 0.58 0.82 (0.51 to 1.32) 0.42 0.92 (0.57 to 1.47) 0.72
 Q3 1.17 (0.75 to 1.83) 0.49 1.01 (0.64 to 1.60) 0.96 1.12 (0.71 to 1.76) 0.64 1.01 (0.64 to 1.60) 0.97
 Q4 1.11 (0.71 to 1.74) 0.65 0.98 (0.63 to 1.52) 0.91 0.84 (0.53 to 1.35) 0.48 1.25 (0.81 to 1.93) 0.32
 Overall 0.90 0.91 0.42 0.54
All cardiac events
 Q2 1.21 (0.96 to 1.52) 0.10 1.36 (1.09 to 1.71) 0.01 0.83 (0.65 to 1.05) 0.13 0.86 (0.68 to 1.10) 0.24
 Q3 1.02 (0.80 to 1.30) 0.89 1.07 (0.84 to 1.37) 0.59 0.94 (0.74 to 1.19) 0.61 1.06 (0.84 to 1.34) 0.61
 Q4 1.10 (0.87 to 1.39) 0.42 0.98 (0.77 to 1.25) 0.88 0.73 (0.57 to 0.94) 0.02 0.94 (0.74 to 1.19) 0.60
 Overall 0.33 0.01 0.01 0.34
All cerebrovascular events
 Q2 0.98 (0.63 to 1.52) 0.91 0.96 (0.62 to 1.47) 0.84 0.99 (0.64 to 1.53) 0.95 0.86 (0.57 to 1.29) 0.46
 Q3 1.05 (0.68 to 1.62) 0.82 0.79 (0.50 to 1.24) 0.31 0.83 (0.52 to 1.32) 0.43 0.65 (0.42 to 1.07) 0.05
 Q4 1.06 (0.69 to 1.62) 0.80 1.01 (0.67 to 1.53) 0.96 0.91 (0.58 to 1.42) 0.68 0.76 (0.49 to 1.17) 0.22
 Overall 0.98 0.68 0.84 0.27
Death from all causes
 Q2 0.93 (0.74 to 1.16) 0.50 0.97 (0.77 to 1.21) 0.78 0.77 (0.62 to 0.96) 0.02 0.84 (0.67 to 1.05) 0.13
 Q3 0.79 (0.63 to 0.99) 0.04 0.95 (0.76 to 1.20) 0.68 0.75 (0.59 to 0.94) 0.01 0.93 (0.74 to 1.16) 0.50
 Q4 0.94 (0.76 to 1.17) 0.60 0.89(0.71 to 1.20) 0.32 0.63 (0.49 to 0.80) <0.001 0.78 (0.61 to 0.98) 0.04
 Overall 0.23 0.80 0.002 0.15

HR, hazard ratio; 95% CI, 95% confidence interval; Q, quartile; MI, myocardial infarction.

a

HR calculated with multivariate Andersen–Gill model; group of patients within the first quarter of the distribution used as the reference group; atorvastatin and placebo group pooled; multiple events considered.

b

P value of the Wald test statistic.

c

Combined vascular end point consisting of MI, cardiac death, and stroke.

d

P value of the multivariate Wald test statistic investigating whether there was any difference between any two quartiles.