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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Oncol. 2014 Nov 26;16(1):36–46. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(14)71123-4

Table 1a.

Estimated population attributable fraction (PAF, %) and cancer cases (N) and their 90% uncertainty intervals associated with excess body mass index by world region and cancer site in 2012, males.

Region Oesophageal
adenocarcinoma
Colon Rectum Pancreas Kidney Total
PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N N PAF obesitya PAF allb
Sub-Saharan Africa 15% (11 %-21 %) 125 (88-169) 5% (4%-7%) 330 (235-457) 3% (2%-4%) 144 (103-199) 4% (3%-6%) 175 (132-227) 6% (4%-8%) 94 (68-129) 867 (625-1181) 5% (3%-6%) 0-4% (0-3%-0-5%)
Middle East and Northern Africa 34% (28%-41%) 391 (323-462) 16% (14%-18%) 2111 (1831-2395) 8% (7%-9%) 631 (547-719) 11% (9%-12%) 697 (608-788) 20% (17%-22%) 1150 (1018-1282) 4980 (4327-5646) 14% (13%-16%) 2-0% (1-7%-2-2%)
Latin America & Caribbean 36% (32%-39%) 1193 (1063-1312) 15% (13%-17%) 4058 (3520-4590) 8% (7%-9%) 1099 (953-1248) 10% (9%-11%) 1294 (1123-1470) 19% (17%-21%) 2366 (2080-2639) 10009 (8739-11258) 14% (13%-16%) 2-0% (1-7%-2-2%)
North America 44% (46%-50%) 4293 (4456-4804) 21% (20%-22%) 11453 (10861-12002) 11% (10%-12%) 2792 (2638-2941) 14% (13%-15%) 3390 (3208-3578) 25% (24%-26%) 9801 (9307-10270) 31729 (30470-33595) 21% (20%-22%) 3-5% (3-4%-3-7%)
East Asia 18% (15%-20%) 1390 (1200-1587) 7% (6%-8%) 9120 (7797-10534) 3% (3%-4%) 3386 (2888-3926) 4% (4%-5%) 2625 (2246-3041) 8% (7%-9%) 4878 (4201-5632) 21398 (18332-24720) 6% (5%-7%) 0-9% (0-8%-1-1%)
South-East Asia 14% (10%-19%) 91 (66-128) 4% (3%-6%) 951 (659-1325) 2% (1%-3%) 301 (208-421) 3% (2%-4%) 165 (111-234) 6% (4%-8%) 248 (177-337) 1756 (1221-2444) 4% (2%-5%) 0-5% (0-3%-0-7%)
South-Central Asia 10% (7%-13%) 389 (266-527) 4% (3%-5%) 997 (736-1277) 2% (1%-2%) 353 (246-476) 3% (2%-4%) 255 (185-332) 5% (4%-7%) 481 (350-623) 2474 (1783-3235) 4% (3%-5%) 0-4% (0-3%-0-5%)
Eastern Europe 38% (33%-43%) 637 (549-716) 16% (14%-19%) 6082 (5141-7021) 8% (7%-10%) 2586 (2144-3049) 10% (9%-12%) 1829 (1538-2130) 19% (16%-21%) 4382 (3744-5016) 15517 (13115-17931) 14% (12%-16%) 3-1% (2-6%-3-6%)
Northern Europe 44% (42%-46%) 2262 (2139-2369) 18% (17%-20%) 3756 (3447-4046) 9% (9%-10%) 1337 (1221-1452) 12% (11%-13%) 845 (769-919) 22% (20%-23%) 2042 (1867-2202) 10242 (9443-10989) 18% (17%-20%) 3-8% (3-5%-4-1%)
Southern Europe 43% (40%-46%) 527 (484-564) 18% (16%-20%) 7002 (6295-7667) 9% (8%-10%) 1930 (1717-2142) 12% (11%-13%) 1379 (1223-1533) 21% (19%-23%) 3206 (2873-3514) 14044 (12593-15421) 16% (14%-18%) 3-3% (3-0%-3-6%)
Western Europe 43% (38%-46%) 1911 (1705-2083) 19% (17%-21%) 8536 (7586-9447) 10% (9%-11%) 2847 (2529-3167) 12% (11%-14%) 1959 (1742-2178) 22% (20%-24%) 4984 (4461-5488) 20236 (18023-22364) 17% (15%-19%) 3-3% (3-0%-3-7%)
Oceania 44% (42%-46%) 361 (340-379) 19% (18%-20%) 1212 (1131-1292) 10% (9%-11%) 399 (371-427) 13% (12%-14%) 233 (216-250) 23% (21%-24%) 600 (560-637) 2804 (2619-2985) 18% (17%-19%) 3-4% (3-2%-3-6%)

Low HDIc 8% (3%-15%) 175 (64-326) 3% (2%-6%) 341 (165-634) 2% (1%-3%) 127 (61-239) 2% (1%-4%) 117 (63-199) 4% (2%-7%) 134 (62-243) 895 (414-1642) 3% (1%-6%) 0-3% (0-1%-0-5%)
Medium HDI 16% (14%-19%) 1703 (1425-1991) 6% (5%-7%) 7399 (6037-8894) 3% (2%-3%) 2778 (2268-3346) 4% (3%-5%) 2340 (1939-2788) 8% (6%-9%) 4365 (3675-5135) 18584 (15343-22154) 5% (4%-6%) 0-7% (0-6%-0-8%)
High HDI 34% (30%-38%) 1735 (1527-1926) 14% (12%-17%) 8533 (7289-9775) 7% (6%-9%) 3104 (2610-3620) 10% (8%-11%) 2717 (2312-3132) 17% (15%-20%) 5437 (4695-6178) 21527 (18433-24630) 13% (11%-15%) 2-1% (1-8%-2-4%)
Very high HDI 43% (42%-47%) 9955 (9664-10857) 17% (15%-18%) 39335 (35748-42749) 8% (8%-9%) 11795 (10626-12963) 11% (10%-12%) 9672 (8787-10560) 21% (19%-23%) 24295 (22275-26213) 95052 (87100-103344) 16% (15%-17%) 3-2% (2-9%-3-4%)

World 33% (31%-37%) 13569 (12680-15100) 13% (11%-14%) 55608 (49239-62052) 6% (5%-7%) 17804 (15565-20168) 8% (7%-9%) 14845 (13100-16680) 17% (15%-18%) 34231 (30707-37769) 136058 (121291-151769) 12% (11%-13%) 1-9% (1-7%-2-1%)
a

PAF obesity: proportion of obesity-related cancers (i.e. oesophageal adenocarcinoma, pancreas, kidney, colon, rectum)attributable to excess BMI

b

PAF all cancers: proportion of all cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin cancers) attributable to excess BMI

c

HDI: Human development index