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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet Oncol. 2014 Nov 26;16(1):36–46. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(14)71123-4

Table 1b.

Estimated population attributable fraction (PAF, %) and cancer cases (N) and their 90% uncertainty intervals associated with excess body mass index by world region and cancer site in 2012, females.

Region Oesophageal
adenocarcinoma
Colon Rectum Gallbladder Pancreas Breast
(postmenopausal)
Corpus uteri Ovary Kidney Total
PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N PAF N N PAF obesitya PAF allb
Sub-Saharan Africa 27% (22%-33%) 151 (122-182) 5% (4%-6%) 302 (235-381) 2% (2%-3%) 128 (96-167) 20% (14%-27%) 279 (195-373) 6% (5%-7%) 216 (176-262) 6% (5%-8%) 2759 (2079-3526) 25% (19%-30%) 2142 (1678-2619) 2% (2%-3%) 252 (178-339) 11% (8%-15%) 184 (127-252) 6413 (4886-8102) 8% (6%-10%) 2-0% (1-5%-2-5%)
Middle East and Northern Africa 44% (39%-48%) 172 (153-189) 11% (10%-12%) 1254 (1145-1359) 6% (5%-6%) 334 (304-366) 53% (48%-58%) 1501 (1364-1631) 12% (11%-13%) 514 (470-556) 15% (13%-17%) 6760 (5912-7598) 48% (45%-51%) 4609 (4346-4881) 6% (6%-7%) 617 (547-691) 35% (33%-37%) 1256 (1181-1332) 17018 (15421-18602) 18% (16%-20%) 7-0% (6-4%-7-7%)
Latin America & Caribbean 41% (38%-44%) 507 (473-537) 9% (8%-10%) 2670 (2415-2913) 5% (4%-5%) 603 (546-662) 48% (44%-53%) 4930 (4504-5361) 10% (9%-10%) 1377 (1255-1497) 12% (11%-13%) 12401 (11024-13797) 42% (39%-44%) 8022 (7424-8554) 5% (5%-6%) 900 (811-991) 30% (28%-32%) 2269 (2102-2425) 33678 (30553-36736) 16% (14%-17%) 6-4% (5-8%-6-9%)
North America 48% (47%-49%) 706 (686-723) 11% (11%-11%) 6052 (5801-6276) 6% (5%-6%) 1009 (963-1053) 53% (50%-57%) 3131 (2959-3311) 11% (11%-12%) 2625 (2527-2715) 14% (13%-15%) 29741 (27095-32111) 48% (47%-49%) 26082 (25397-26677) 7% (6%-7%) 1554 (1469-1633) 34% (33%-35%) 8084 (7848-8296) 78984 (74746-82796) 19% (18%-20%) 9-4% (8-9%-9-8%)
East Asia 22% (19%-23%) 582 (524-632) 4% (4%-4%) 4229 (3807-4668) 2% (2%-2%) 1228 (1103-1360) 25% (22%-28%) 10285 (9018-11500) 4% (4%-4%) 1796 (1617-1981) 5% (4%-6%) 8143 (7105-9252) 20% (17%-21%) 16920 (15093-18511) 2% (2%-2%) 965 (852-1087) 14% (12%-15%) 4045 (3657-4445) 48192 (42775-53435) 8% (7%-9%) 3-0% (2-6%-3-3%)
South-East Asia 22% (18%-26%) 54 (45-64) 4% (3%-4%) 694 (581-820) 2% (1%-2%) 174 (146-208) 23% (17%-29%) 819 (616-1034) 3% (3%-4%) 200 (166-238) 5% (4%-6%) 2959 (2447-3511) 19% (16%-22%) 2842 (2415-3265) 2% (2%-3%) 399 (333-473) 13% (11%-15%) 321 (271-375) 8465 (7019-9987) 6% (5%-7%) 2-2% (1-9%-2-6%)
South-Central Asia 18% (14%-21%) 289 (237-346) 3% (3%-4%) 636 (529-754) 1% (1%-2%) 227 (182-278) 13% (10%-17%) 2249 (1708-2916) 3% (3%-4%) 237 (191-288) 4% (3%-5%) 4736 (3755-5796) 17% (13%-20%) 3241 (2593-3908) 2% (1%-2%) 540 (426-667) 12% (10%-14%) 526 (440-617) 12682 (10061-15569) 5% (4%-7%) 1-7% (1-3%-2-1%)
Eastern Europe 46% (43%-50%) 228 (209-243) 11% (10%-12%) 4543 (4121-4939) 5% (5%-6%) 1371 (1216-1527) 53% (48%-57%) 3450 (3133-3737) 11% (10%-12%) 1796 (1622-1961) 13% (12%-15%) 13337 (11582-15010) 45% (41%-48%) 18745 (17264-19981) 6% (5%-7%) 1639 (1450-1827) 33% (30%-35%) 5317 (4906-5705) 50425 (45503-54931) 18% (16%-20%) 9-9% (8-9%-10-7%)
Northern Europe 44% (42%-45%) 579 (558-598) 9% (9%-10%) 1829 (1716-1936) 5% (4%-5%) 441 (413-471) 47% (44%-51%) 656 (607-707) 10% (9%-10%) 695 (654-733) 12% (11%-13%) 7513 (6790-8246) 42% (40%-43%) 5707 (5440-5947) 6% (5%-6%) 544 (504-584) 30% (28%-31%) 1728 (1640-1808) 19693 (18321-21031) 15% (14%-16%) 7-9% (7-4%-8-4%)
Southern Europe 44% (42%-46%) 111 (105-116) 10% (9%-10%) 2943 (2737-3138) 5% (5%-5%) 647 (596-698) 49% (45%-53%) 2193 (2027-2356) 10% (9%-10%) 1122 (1042-1197) 12% (11%-13%) 9096 (8103-10074) 41% (39%-43%) 8013 (7509-8452) 5% (5%-6%) 672 (610-733) 30% (28%-31%) 2231 (2089-2359) 27028 (24818-29123) 15% (14%-17%) 8-1% (7-5%-8-7%)
Western Europe 42% (39%-45%) 416 (388-443) 9% (9%-10%) 3707 (3416-4019) 5% (4%-5%) 875 (802-956) 49% (45%-53%) 2631 (2438-2843) 10% (9%-10%) 1533 (1420-1654) 11% (10%-13%) 14582 (12956-16283) 41% (38%-43%) 9562 (8951-10162) 5% (5%-6%) 758 (687-835) 29% (27%-31%) 3791 (3603-4105) 37854 (34662-41301) 15% (13%-16%) 7-8% (7-1%-8-5%)
Oceania 44% (42%-45%) 67 (64-70) 10% (9%-10%) 592 (561-622) 5% (5%-5%) 122 (115-129) 49% (46%-53%) 222 (208-237) 10% (9%-10%) 158 (150-165) 12% (11%-14%) 1740 (1575-1908) 42% (41%-44%) 1287 (1231-1339) 6% (5%-6%) 108 (101-116) 31% (29%-32%) 428 (411-445) 4722 (4416-5031) 15% (14%-16%) 7-2% (6-7%-7-6%)

Low HDIc 14% (8%-20%) 150 (86-221) 3% (2%-4%) 253 (143-384) 1% (1%-2%) 104 (60-158) 12% (6%-19%) 882 (444-1394) 3% (2%-5%) 138 (84-202) 4% (3%-6%) 2980 (1955-4152) 17% (11%-24%) 2005 (1289-2755) 2% (1%-2%) 301 (174-455) 9% (5%-14%) 234 (136-350) 7048 (4370-10070) 5% (3%-8%) 1-5% (0-9%-2-1%)
Medium HDI 23% (20%-25%) 850 (760-932) 4% (4%-5%) 4112 (3615-4644) 2% (2%-2%) 1279 (1119-1452) 23% (20%-26%) 10150 (8776-11546) 4% (4%-5%) 1774 (1561-1996) 6% (5%-7%) 15466 (13194-17864) 21% (18%-23%) 21979 (19414-24325) 2% (2%-3%) 1814 (1563-2084) 14% (13%-16%) 4052 (3622-4500) 61478 (53624-69342) 8% (7%-9%) 2-7% (2-4%-3-1%)
High HDI 41% (39%-44%) 796 (741-844) 10% (9%-11%) 6539 (5945-7100) 5% (4%-6%) 1845 (1647-2043) 49% (45%-53%) 6285 (5732-6823) 10% (9%-11%) 2692 (2446-2927) 13% (11%-14%) 24317 (21339-27228) 44% (40%-46%) 25125 (23184-26784) 6% (5%-6%) 2424 (2160-2691) 32% (29%-34%) 6604 (6115-7061) 76626 (69310-83501) 17% (15%-18%) 7-5% (6-8%-8-2%)
Very high HDI 44% (42%-46%) 2066 (1976-2148) 9% (8%-9%) 18547 (17361-19696) 4% (4%-5%) 3933 (3654-4221) 42% (38%-45%) 15029 (13823-16244) 9% (8%-10%) 7665 (7198-8123) 12% (11 %-13%) 71005 (63936-77866) 42% (40%-44%) 58061 (55455-60433) 5% (5%-6%) 4409 (4071-4749) 30% (28%-31%) 19288 (18401-20251) 200003 (185876-213731) 15% (14%-17%) 7-8% (7-2%-8-3%)

World 34% (31%-36%) 3862 (3564-4144) 8% (7%-8%) 29451 (27065-31824) 4% (3%-4%) 7160 (6480-7874) 32% (29%-36%) 32346 (28776-36007) 8% (7%-8%) 12269 (11289-13248) 10% (9%-11%) 113767 (100424-127111) 34% (32%-36%) 107172 (99342-114297) 4% (4%-4%) 8948 (7967-9978) 26% (24%-28%) 30179 (28273-32162) 345154 (313180-376644) 13% (12%-14%) 5-4% (4-9%-5-9%)
a

PAF obesity: proportion of obesity-related cancers (i.e. oesophageal adenocarcinoma, pancreas, kidney, postmenopausal breast, ovary, corpus uteri, gallbladder, colon, rectum)attributable to excess BMI

b

PAF all cancers: proportion of all cancer (excluding non-melanoma skin cancers) attributable to excess BMI

c

HDI: Human development index