Table 2.
Marginal likelihood of alternative migration models
| Migration Seasonality | +dof | NA/OT | NC/SC/OT | Global |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | 0 | −747.7 | −587.0 | −2246.3 |
| None, variable selection for the presence of any migration between two communities | −588.4 | −2241.2 | ||
| Origin based | n + 1 | −568.6 | −2193.5 | |
| Destination based | n + 1 | −561.2 | −2207.7 | |
| Origin and destination based | 2n + 1 | −561.1 | −2207.6 | |
| Specific origin and destination based | n2-n + 1 | −561.0 | −2200.6 | |
| Specific origin and destination based migration seasonality, variable selection for any migration and for seasonality between each pair of communities | −726.6 | −561.8 | −2192.6 |
dof - degrees of freedom, NA/OT – North-America and the Global Community, NC/SC/OT – North-China, South China and the Global Community Global – 7 + 1 global communities.