Table 5.
Ranking of alternative linear regression predictors for the percent of the global H3N2 trunk in different communities
| Model | Adjusted R 2 | R 2 | AIC | BIC |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| {Pop} | 0.464411 | 0.506 | 226.15 | 228.06 |
| {HM, pop} | 0.421031 | 0.510 | 228.02 | 230.57 |
| {Pop, density} | 0.419179 | 0.508 | 228.06 | 230.62 |
| {HM} | 0.414195 | 0.459 | 227.40 | 229.32 |
| {HM, pop, density} | 0.367029 | 0.513 | 229.93 | 233.13 |
| {HM, density} | 0.365295 | 0.463 | 229.30 | 231.86 |
| {} | 0. | 0. | 234.00 | 235.29 |
| {Density} | −0.0538263 | 0.027 | 235.62 | 237.53 |
HM – Harmonic mean of the estimated percent of the total global incidence in each community, in different months, across twelve months Pop – Population size of a community, as total of the countries included in a community, Density – Population density of a community, as the total area divided by the total population size of countries within the community.