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. 2014 Sep 18;473(3):1055–1073. doi: 10.1007/s11999-014-3943-9

Table 3.

Summary of included studies evaluating risk of progression to THA in people with hip OA undergoing hip arthroscopy

Study (first author, year) Total score using modified Downs and Black appraisal (maximum 17 points) Intervention for OA pathology Classification of OA pathology Sample size Sex Age (years)* Duration symptom Followup time to THA (mean) Study conclusions regarding THA risk
Gedouin (2010) [18] 10 Débridement, microfracture Preoperative radiograph Tönnis Grade 0 or 1 110 (45) 32 F; 78 M 31 10 months 1 year 5 of 110 patients progressed to THA
Haviv (2010) [19] 10 Débridement; microfracture All patients–Outerbridge 4
Mild = < 30% acetabulum
Moderate = > 30% acetabulum
Severe = also femoral head
90 55 F; 35 M 55 NR Mild–2.2 years
Moderate–1.2 years
Severe–1.1 years
Overall–1.5 years
Pearson’s correlation
Age versus time to THA r = −0.34
Severity cartilage change versus time to THA r = −0.35
If age < 55 years, time to THA 1.9 years
If age > 55 years, time to THA 1.2 years (p = 0.004)
Horisberger (2010) [24] 9 Débridement, microfracture Outerbridge ≥ 2, preoperative radiograph Tönnis ≥ 1 20 4 F; 16 M 47 NR 1.4 years 10/20 patients underwent THA
Tönnis ≤ 2 less likely to progress to
THA than Tönnis > 2 (p = 0.03)
Age and Outerbridge score did not affect likelihood of progression to THA
Larson (2011) [32] 13 Débridement, microfracture Group FAI–no joint space narrowing Tönnis 0 to 1 (n = 154)
Group FAI OA–joint space narrowing Tönnis >1 (n = 56)
227 (56) Group FAI 81 F; 88 M
Group FAI OA 13 F; 43 M
Group FAI 32
Group FAI OA 45
NR 3 years 1 of 154 progressed to THA in Group FAI
20 of 56 progressed to THA in Group FAI OA
Greater JSN predicted increased THA rate (p = 0.014)
Greater duration symptoms predicted increased THA rate (p = 0.015)
Margheritini (1999) [35] 9 Débridement, removal loose bodies, synovectomy OA diagnosed by radiograph, MRI, or arthroscopy (not specific) 133 87 F; 46 M 42 NR 7 months 21 of 133 progressed to THA
McCarthy (2011) [36] 13 Resection, microfracture, removal loose bodies Outerbridge 0
Outerbridge 1–2
Outerbridge 3–4
111 64 F; 47 M 39 NR 4.8 years Overall 10-year survivorship (not having THA) 63%
Outerbridge Grade 1–2 10 year survivorship 80%
Outerbridge Grade 3–4 10 year survivorship 12%
OR needing THA 3.6 times if age > 40 years
OR needing THA 20 times if acetabular Outerbridge 3–4
OR needing THA 58 times if femoral Outerbridge 3–4
Overall probability of THA in 10 years if Outerbridge 3–4 = 99% regardless of age
Palmer (2012) [44] 15 Chondroplasty, microfracture Outerbridge 0–3 (n = 157)
Outerbridge 4 (n = 44)
Chondral defects < 1.5 cm2
(n = 201)
201 (201) 102 F; 99 M 40 59 months 46 months 12/201 patients progressed to THA
Significantly more patients with Outerbridge 4 progressed to THA (p = 0.03)
Philippon (2009) [46] 12 Chondroplasty, microfracture Joint space measured on preoperative radiograph
Outerbridge 1–2 (n = 74)–mild
Outerbridge 3 (n = 29)–moderate
Outerbridge 4 (n = 9)–poor
112 62 F; 50 M 41 34 months 16 months 10 of 112 patients progressed to THA
OR progressing to THA 39 times if preoperative joint space < 2.0 mm
Wilkin (2014) [57] 9 Débridement Tönnis grading on radiograph 41 31 F; 10 M 52 NR 21.3 months 6 of 41 patients progressed to THA

* Mean (SD); OA = osteoarthritis; FAI = femoroacetabular impingement; F = female; M = male; Tönnis = preoperative grading of osteoarthritis using Tönnis scale; Outerbridge = intraoperative grading of chondral injury; NR = not reported.