Table 2:
Estimated 10-year risk for cardiovascular disease among Omani diabetic adults aged ≥40 years according to different risk reduction scenarios and risk tools13–15 between 1991–2008* (N = 1,077)
| Survey year† | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 (n = 379) | 2000 (n = 470) | 2008 (n = 228) | |
| Current risk | |||
| Mean SCORE risk | 3.5 (0.3) | 5.7 (0.4) | 6.6 (0.7) |
| Mean DECODE risk | 2.5 (0.2) | 3.3 (0.2) | 3.5 (0.2) |
| WHO/ISH risk in % with risk ≥30% | 26.1 (2.3) | 37.3 (2.2) | 47.1 (4.6) |
| Smoking elimination scenario | |||
| Mean SCORE risk | 3.4 (0.3) | 5.3 (0.4) | 6.3 (0.7) |
| Mean DECODE risk | 2.4 (0.2) | 3.1 (0.2) | 3.2 (0.2) |
| WHO/ISH risk in % with risk ≥30% | 25.3 (2.3) | 36.2 (2.2) | 45.5 (4.6) |
| SBP <130 mmHg scenario | |||
| Mean SCORE risk | 2.2 (0.2) | 3.9 (0.3) | 3.9 (0.3) |
| Mean DECODE risk | 1.7 (0.1) | 2.4 (0.1) | 2.4 (0.2) |
| WHO/ISH charts in % with risk ≥30% | 15.3 (1.9) | 25.6 (2.1) | 32.5 (4.5) |
| TC level <5.2 mmol/L scenario | |||
| Mean SCORE risk | 2.9 (0.3) | 4.7 (0.4) | 5.8 (0.6) |
| Mean DECODE risk | 2.2 (0.1) | 3.0 (0.1) | 3.2 (0.2) |
| WHO/ISH risk in % with risk ≥30% | 26.1 (2.3) | 36.9 (2.2) | 47.1 (4.6) |
| Overall combined scenario | |||
| Mean SCORE risk | 1.7 (0.1) | 3.0 (0.2) | 3.2 (0.3) |
| Mean DECODE risk | 1.4 (0.1) | 2.0 (0.1) | 2.1 (0.1) |
| WHO/ISH risk in % with risk ≥30% | 14.7 (1.9) | 27.7 (2.1) | 31.8 (4.5) |
SCORE = Systematic COronary Risk Evaluation; DECODE = Diabetes Epidemiology Collaborative Analysis of Diagnostic Criteria in Europe; WHO/ISH = World Health Organization/International Society of Hypertension; SBP = systolic blood pressure; TC = total cholesterol.
†
Numbers in brackets signify standard error.