Table 1.
Total decadal deforestation and emissions under alternative policy scenarios, Indonesia 2000–2010
| Scenario | Without leakage | With leakage | ||||
| Total | Absolute reduction | Percent reduction | Total | Absolute reduction | Percent reduction | |
| Without moratorium | ||||||
| Deforestation (kha) | 11,453 | 11,453 | ||||
| Emissions (MtCO2e) | 8,589 | 8,589 | ||||
| Current moratorium scope: new oil palm, timber, and logging concessions on primary forests and peat lands | ||||||
| Deforestation (kha) | 11,054–11,300 | 153–399 | 1.3–3.5 | 11,148–11,337 | 116–305 | 1.0–2.7 |
| Emissions (MtCO2e) | 7,974–8,348 | 241–615 | 2.8–7.2 | 8,043–8,376 | 213–545 | 2.5–6.4 |
| Equivalent mandatory carbon price ($/tCO2e) | 3.30–6.60 | 3.35–7.50 | ||||
| Equivalent voluntary carbon price ($/tCO2e) | 13.15–18.70 | 12.95–19.45 | ||||
| Current moratorium scope + secondary forests | ||||||
| Deforestation (kha) | 10,660–11,175 | 278–793 | 2.4–6.9 | 10,842–11,241 | 212–611 | 1.9–5.3 |
| Emissions (MtCO2e) | 7,833–8,302 | 287–756 | 3.3–8.8 | 7,969–8,352 | 237–620 | 2.8–7.2 |
| Equivalent mandatory carbon price ($/tCO2e) | 4.00–9.25 | 3.70–8.55 | ||||
| Equivalent voluntary carbon price ($/tCO2e) | 14.35–21.55 | 13.60–20.40 | ||||
| Current moratorium scope + secondary forests + existing concessions | ||||||
| Deforestation (kha) | 9,518–10,803 | 650–1,935 | 5.7–16.9 | 9,929–10,943 | 510–1,525 | 4.5–13.3 |
| Emissions (MtCO2e) | 7,017–8,051 | 538–1,571 | 6.3–18.3 | 7,321–8,155 | 433–1,268 | 5.1–14.8 |
| Equivalent mandatory carbon price ($/tCO2e) | 7.50–20.10 | 6.85–18.20 | ||||
| Equivalent voluntary carbon price ($/tCO2e) | 19.80–32.50 | 18.40–30.60 | ||||