Table 4.

Decomposition Results for Severe Complications of Diabetes Mellitus

	CHF and/or AMI		Stroke		Amputation		ESRD

Predicted probability 2012¹	0.0893^**		0.0138^**		0.0031^**		0.0262^**
Predicted probability 1992	0.1156^**		0.0299^**		0.0095^**		0.0112^**
Total change in probability: 2012 v. 1992	−0.0263^**		−0.0161^**		−0.0064^**		0.0150^**

	Change in Probability
	Explained	Unexplained	Explained	Unexplained	Explained	Unexplained	Explained	Unexplained

Combined contribution to total change in probability: explained v. unexplained	0.0282^**	−0.0545^**	0.0003	−0.0163^**	0.0024^**	−0.0089^**	0.0268^**	−0.0118^**
Utilization of recommended health care services	−0.0272^**	−0.0050^**	−0.0071^**	0.0000	−0.0049^**	0.0009^**	−0.0056^**	−0.0023^**
Population Composition
Cardiovascular complication, less severe	0.0027^**	−0.0176^**	0.0001^**	−0.0014^**	0.0000^**	−0.0001	0.0001^**	0.0045^**
Cerebrovascular complication, less severe	−0.0004^**	0.0014^**	−0.0010^**	−0.0015^**	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0003^**
Lower extremity complication, less severe	0.0039^**	−0.0036^**	0.0007^**	−0.0014^**	0.0050^**	−0.0113^**	0.0006^**	0.0007^*
Renal complication, less severe	0.0424^**	−0.0246^**	0.0023^**	−0.0020^**	0.0032^**	−0.0030^**	0.0352^**	−0.0258^**
Ocular complication, less severe	0.0001^*	−0.0002	0.0000	0.0000	0.0000	0.0001	0.0001^**	0.0023^**
Insulin dependence	0.0036^**	−0.0143^**	0.0009^**	−0.0047^**	0.0003^**	−0.0016^**	0.0000	0.0059^**
Charlson index	0.0017^**	0.0043^**	0.0010^**	−0.0041^**	0.0002^**	−0.0010^**	0.0001^**	0.0035^**
Hypertension	0.0051^**	0.0041^*	0.0048^**	−0.0071^**	0.0003^*	0.0004	−0.0007^**	−0.0038^**
Lipidemia	−0.0140^**	0.0361^**	−0.0031^**	0.0095^**	−0.0016^**	0.0024^**	−0.0021^**	0.0020^*
Obesity	0.0070^**	0.0017^*	0.0005	−0.0003	−0.0005^**	0.0006^**	−0.0005^**	0.0006^*
Age 70–74	−0.0002^**	−0.0024^**	−0.0001^**	−0.0012^**	0.0000	−0.0002	0.0001^**	−0.0013^**
Age 75–79	−0.0005^**	−0.0040^**	−0.0002^**	−0.0014^**	0.0000	−0.0004^**	0.0001^**	−0.0021^**
Age 80–84	0.0001^**	−0.0032^**	0.0001^**	−0.0022^**	0.0000	−0.0003^*	0.0000^**	−0.0024^**
Age 85+	0.0040^**	−0.0034^**	0.0011^**	−0.0022^**	0.0001	−0.0007^**	−0.0008^**	−0.0037^**
Male	−0.0001^**	−0.0046^**	0.0000	−0.0005	0.0001^**	−0.0017^**	0.0000^**	0.0006
Black	0.0002^**	0.0016^**	−0.0001^**	−0.0003	−0.0001^**	−0.0007^**	−0.0001^**	0.0023^**
Hispanic	−0.0005^**	0.0002	−0.0001	0.0001	0.0000	0.0000	0.0001	0.0004^**
Other	0.0002	−0.0010^**	0.0003^**	−0.0005^**	0.0002^**	−0.0004^**	0.0002^**	0.0003^*
Intercept		−0.0201^**		0.0047^**		0.0081^**		0.0063^**

^**

p≤0.01;

p≤0.05

Sample size was 289,443 in 2012 and 152,191 in 1992