Table 3.
Costs, Effects, and incremental cost-effectiveness emerging from Monte Carlo model of costs and program effects
| Total costs | Incremental effects (Intervention minus control) | Incremental cost | Incremental cost per DALY averted | Incremental cost per Death averted | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intervention | Control | DALY’S averted | Deaths averted | ||||
| Avg from 1000 iterations | $105,858 | $89,386 | 77.28 | 2.85 | $16,472 | $214 | $5,744 |
| SD | (6,067) | (5,352) | (7.94) | (0.29) | (8,494) | (111) | (3,058) |
| Median | $214 | $5,955 | |||||
| Lower 25% | $127 | $3,437 | |||||
| Upper 25% | $287 | $7,589 | |||||
| Base case from tree | $104,486 | $88,523 | 65.63 | 2.43 | $15,963 | $243 | $6,582 |
The bottom row labeled base case from tree offers the results from a non-stochastic estimate. The non-stochastic estimate lies close to both the mean and the median of the stochastic estimates. The stochastic incremental cost average estimate of $16,472 (SD $8,494) which emerged from 1000 iterations, lies close to the non-stochastic estimate of $15,963 shown in Table 2.