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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jan 31.
Published in final edited form as: Circ Arrhythm Electrophysiol. 2015 Jan 7;8(1):25–31. doi: 10.1161/CIRCEP.114.002300

Table 4.

Simple risk score for the prediction of post-operative atrial fibrillation

Discovery cohort (N=556) Validation cohort (N=1164)
Score Number of patients with score Incidence of PoAF Number of patients with score Incidence of PoAF
0-1 66 7.6% 130 8.5%
2 100 12% 195 19.5%
3 113 19.5% 243 28.4%
4 125 34.4% 322 33.2%
5 83 44.6% 186 39.8%
≥6 69 66.7% 88 42%

PoAF: postoperative atrial fibrillation. Calculation of score: 1 point each for male sex, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, left ventricular ejection fraction < 40%, and PR interval >200ms; 2 points for age >60 years; and 3 points for a previous history of atrial fibrillation.