Table 4.
Projected outcomes over 20 years with progressive addition of interventions that improve the public and private sectors for TB care in Indonesia (per 1000 persons from general population)
| Scenario | Primary active cases arising in cohort over 20 years 1 | Total projected outcomes related to the primary active cases | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Death during diagnosis phase | Death during treatment phase | Cure due to treatment | Secondary cases generated from primary cases | Health system costs | ||
| Baseline | 19 · 27 | 11 · 01 | 1 · 51 | 0 · 97 | 28 · 87 | $2,641 · 47 |
| Eliminate patient delay in seeking care | 19 · 27 | 10 · 67 | 1 · 57 | 1 · 01 | 28 · 21 | $2,751 · 94 |
| Above & Eliminate informal sector for TB diagnosis | 19 · 27 | 10 · 45 | 1 · 67 | 1 · 06 | 27 · 88 | $2,916 · 34 |
| Above & Increase correct diagnostic test to 100% | 19 · 27 | 4 · 11 | 4 · 31 | 2 · 75 | 18 · 64 | $6,809 · 05 |
| Above & Eliminate health system diagnostic delay | 19 · 27 | 3 · 67 | 4 · 44 | 2 · 84 | 17 · 40 | $7,013 · 83 |
| Above & Increase correct treatment to 100% | 19 · 27 | 3 · 67 | 0 · 72 | 12 · 95 | 9 · 59 | $7,052 · 06 |
| Above & Eliminate loss to follow up prior to starting treatment | 19 · 27 | 0 | 0 · 96 | 17 · 35 | 1 · 39 | $9,295 · 09 |
1Primary cases are those which would arise from reactivation of pre-existing latent TB infection, or progression from newly acquired infection, but do NOT include cases arising from transmission from the primary cases.