Table 2.
Predictor | Cut-off value | Events | PYFU | Sensitivity (95% CI) | Specificity (95% CI) | Positive Predictive value (95% CI) | AUC (95% CI) | Hazard Ratio* (95% CI) | p-value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IFN-γ | >0 | 7 | 164.3 | 78.9 (47.8–100.0) | 35.7 (30.3–41.4) | 4.3 (1.7–8.8) | 0.57 (0.41–0.69) | 1.9 (0.4–9.3) | 0.41 |
≥ 6 | 7 | 118.7 | 77.7 (45.7–100.0) | 54.6 (49.3–60.1) | 5.9 (2.4–12.2) | 0.66 (0.50–0.78) | 4.0 (0.8–19.3) | 0.08 | |
≥ 10 | 6 | 102.1 | 65.0 (29.0–98.7) | 60.5 (55.2–65.7) | 5.9 (2.2–12.8) | 0.63 (0.45–0.80) | 3.0 (0.7–12.0) | 0.12 | |
ESAT-6 | >0 | 6 | 148.6 | 69.1 (36.3–100.0) | 41.3 (35.9–46.8) | 4.0 (1.5–8.8) | 0.55 (0.37–0.70) | 1.4 (0.4–5.7) | 0.61 |
≥ 6 | 6 | 101.8 | 67.4 (30.7–98.0) | 61.2 (56.1–66.8) | 5.9 (2.2–12.8) | 0.64 (0.45–0.80) | 3.0 (0.8–12.1) | 0.12 | |
≥ 10 | 5 | 86.7 | 55.5 (21.3–90.2) | 66.2 (60.8–71.5) | 5.8 (1.9–13.5) | 0.61 (0.43–0.79) | 2.4 (0.7–9.1) | 0.18 | |
CFP-10 | >0 | 7 | 143.9 | 78.9 (44.1–100.0) | 43.9 (38.3–49.1) | 4.9 (2.0–10.0) | 0.61 (0.46–0.74) | 2.7 (0.6–13.1) | 0.21 |
≥ 6 | 6 | 93.6 | 66.0 (28.5–99.2) | 63.4 (57.7–68.6) | 6.4 (2.4–14.0) | 0.65 (0.46–0.82) | 3.4 (0.9–13.8) | 0.08 | |
≥ 10 | 5 | 76.7 | 50.5 (13.9–85.2) | 69.8 (64.7–74.8) | 6.5 (2.1–15.2) | 0.60 (0.43–0.78) | 2.9 (0.8–10.8) | 0.11 |
Note: PYFU Person years of follow-up; CI Confidence Interval
Crude Hazard Ratio for active TB in women above IFN-γ cut-off value compared with women below IFN-γ cut-off value