Table 4.

Outcome probabilities used in the decision analysis model

Event	Estimate used in the decision model (%)	Probability range in the literature	Range used for sensitivity analysis (%)
PPE
Total complication rate	41	0–57 [6, 9, 12, 19, 20, 24]	0–80
Total infection rate	19	0–17 [6, 9, 12, 19, 20, 24]	30–100
Proportion of infections that were superficial	67	80–100 [6, 12, 19]
Hardware complication rate	22	0–48 [12, 19]
PPB
Total complication rate	41	0–57 [6, 9, 12, 19, 20, 24]
Total infection rate	18	0–17[6, 9, 12, 19, 20, 24]
Proportion of infections that were superficial	67	80–100 [6, 12, 19]
Hardware complication rate	24	0–48 [12, 19]
IMN
Total complication rate	11	0–25 [1, 6, 10, 17, 18, 23]
Total infection rate	6	0–4 [1, 6, 10, 17]
Proportion of infections that were superficial	50	67–100 [6, 10, 18]
Hardware complication rate	6	0–21 [6, 10, 17, 18]

IMN intramedullary nailing, PPB percutaneous pins buried, PPE percutaneous pins exposed