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. 2015 Feb 26;10(2):e0118522. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0118522

Table 7. The Bayes Factor (BF) of each model, mode and 90% highest posterior density (in parentheses) for NC, NH and T for the demographic models implemented in MSVAR.

Cluster BF model NH NC Time (T)
North 979 Exp 4,493 (1,112–19,085) 279 (76–1,016) 6,261 (1,208–34,300)
5624 Linear 4,676 (1,198–17,124) 118 (24–521) 11,766 (2,126–67,321)
Central inf Exp 3,823 (1,111–14,791) 106 (22–470) 2,172 (354–12,843)
inf Linear 3,955 (1,122–14,701) 65 (4.4–461) 6,989 (1,122–41,399)
South inf Exp 4,620 (1,359–16,253) 28 (0.43–290) 271 (7–3,345)
inf Linear 4,677 (1,396–15,015) 11 (0.07–155) 2,417 (484–12,280)
Historical Canterbury 276 Exp 3,995 (889–20,427) 131 (1.8–1,067) 1,302 (20.2–39,058)
624 Linear 4,266 (926–20,914) 103 (1–1,090) 6,708 (497–104,451)