Table 1.

Testing Two Competing Mortality Models With Human Data

Birth Cohort	Gompertz Model (1)	Kannisto Model (2)	AIC Difference, Δi (2) − (1)
Men
1890	−212.329	−196.489	15.84
1891	−211.914	−189.524	22.39
1892	−218.797	−195.887	22.91
1893	−221.762	−198.028	23.73
1894	−219.283	−200.769	18.51
1895	−232.773	−205.206	27.57
1896	−241.971	−205.407	36.56
1897	−221.926	−198.790	23.14
1898	−237.934	−200.545	37.39
1899	−213.753	−195.510	18.24
1900	−221.477	−193.960	27.52
Women
1890	−212.698	−200.652	12.05
1891	−213.751	−199.934	13.82
1892	−222.666	−199.776	22.89
1893	−219.428	−207.064	12.36
1894	−218.826	−213.570	5.26
1895	−232.062	−212.169	19.89
1896	−236.069	−213.301	22.77
1897	−225.729	−209.820	15.91
1898	−231.468	−210.523	20.95
1899	−216.079	−194.787	21.29
1900	−209.085	−202.302	6.78

Notes: Akaike’s information criterion (AIC) for the Gompertz model and the “mortality deceleration” Kannisto model. Data on U.S. cohort death rates taken from the Human Mortality Database.