. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2016 Jan 1.

Published in final edited form as: J Policy Anal Manage. 2014 Sep 29;34(1):162–183. doi: 10.1002/pam.21800

Table 4.

Simulation results: effect of policy changes on quality of admitted students.

	Admitted under

			Proxy-based affirmative action with weight on predicted likelihood of being a URM

	Traditional affirmative action	Passive affirmative action ban	0.1	0.6	1.1	1.6	2.1	2.6
URM’s share of admitted students	19.5%	16.2%	16.3%	17.0%	17.7%	18.4%	19.0%	19.6%
Predicted cumulative GPA in UT classes	2.944	2.951	2.951	2.947	2.943	2.938	2.934	2.929
Predicted likelihood of graduating from UT within six years	74.9%	75.1%	75.1%	75.0%	74.8%	74.7%	74.5%	74.4%