TABLE 2—
Predicted Probabilities for Selected EPSDT Outcomes and Covariates of Interest: South Carolina, 1995–2010
| Characteristics | No Visita | P | Ratio of Observed:Expected Visitsb | P |
| Fixed effectsc | ||||
| Intercept | −3.00 | < .001 | 0.493 | < .001 |
| Year | 0.212 | < .001 | −0.009 | < .001 |
| Year x Year | −0.016 | < .001 | 0.001 | < .001 |
| SCDHEC market shared | ||||
| Low | Ref | Ref | ||
| Average | −0.599 | 0.082 | ||
| High | −0.901 | < .001 | 0.107 | < .001 |
| Residence | ||||
| Urban | Ref | Ref | ||
| Rural | −0.326 | .126 | 0.038 | .057 |
| Year x SCDHEC market share x rural | ||||
| Low—urban | Ref | Ref | ||
| Low—rural | 0.061 | .006 | −0.008 | < .001 |
| Average—urban | 0.096 | < .001 | −0.018 | < .001 |
| Average—rural | 0.141 | < .001 | −0.027 | < .001 |
| High—urban | 0.145 | .011 | −0.013 | < .001 |
| High—rural | 0.208 | .002 | −0.033 | < .001 |
| Random effectse | ||||
| SD, y | 0.061 | 0.007 | ||
| SD (intercept) | 0.561 | 0.057 | ||
| Correlation, y (intercept) | −0.483 | −0.554 |
Note. EPSDT = Early Periodic Screening, Diagnosis, and Treatment; SCDHEC = South Carolina Department of Health and Environmental Control.
Model derived using Stata XTMELOGIT.
Model derived using Stata XTMIXED.
All models included additional fixed effects for race/ethnicity, mother’s age, education, marital status, special need status, federally qualified health centers or rural health center market share, private provider capacity, managed care market share, changes in Medicaid enrollment, and reimbursement for EPSDT.
Low is defined as ≤ 19% of visits, average as 20%–59% of visits, and high as ≥ 60% of visits.
All models included random effects for county and year.