Table 11. Baseline prodromal symptoms and prediction of conversion to psychosis versus nonconversion.
Predictor | Parameter Estimates | Overall Fit | ||||||
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β | SE β | Wald | p | HR (eβ) | 95% CI (eβ) | χ2 | p | |
Unusual thought content | 0.16 | 0.08 | 3.64 | .056 | 1.17 | 1.00–1.38 | 9.67 | .008 |
Suspiciousness | 0.29 | 0.09 | 10.96 | .001 | 1.33 | 1.12–1.58 | 17.05 | <.001 |
Grandiose ideas | −0.04 | 0.09 | 0.19 | .666 | 0.96 | 0.81–1.15 | 6.29 | .043 |
Perceptual abnormalitiesa | <0.01 | 0.07 | <0.01 | .975 | 1.00 | 0.87–1.15 | 16.43 | .001 |
Disorganized communication | 0.24 | 0.08 | 8.42 | .004 | 1.27 | 1.08–1.50 | 14.65 | .001 |
Social anhedonia | 0.19 | 0.07 | 7.07 | .008 | 1.20 | 1.05–1.38 | 12.89 | .002 |
Avolition | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.70 | .404 | 1.06 | 0.93–1.22 | 6.33 | .042 |
Expression of emotion | 0.11 | 0.07 | 2.32 | .128 | 1.12 | 0.97–1.29 | 7.93 | .019 |
Experience of emotion and self | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.49 | .483 | 1.05 | 0.92–1.20 | 5.68 | .058 |
Ideational richness | 0.23 | 0.07 | 9.90 | .002 | 1.26 | 1.09–1.45 | 16.39 | <.001 |
Occupational functioning | 0.10 | 0.07 | 2.31 | .128 | 1.10 | 0.97–1.26 | 8.04 | .018 |
Note: The reference group is nonconversion. A Cox regression analysis was performed using standardized Premorbid Adjustment Scale ratings. The method is forced entry. The covariate for all analyses was early adolescent social maladjustment, and the year at baseline was an additional covariate for perceptual abnormalities. HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval.
The results for perceptual abnormalities remained nonsignificant when the year at baseline was not included as a covariate.