Table 1.

Goodness-of-Fit Statistics for Models Fitted to Simulated Data and NHIS Data

	DGP for Simulation 1				DGP for Simulation 4
	B&J Eq(4)				Reither Replicate, with 7-Year Cohorts
	A	AP	AC	APC	A	AP	AC	APC
Log Likelihood	−7546.2	−7450.0	−8230.5	−8230.5	−13797.1	−13544.2	−13554.6	−13531.6
AIC	15098.3	14958.1	14950.9	14979.9	27600.2	27146.3	27149.2	27155.2
BIC	15123.2	15199.1	15117.1	15362.1	27625.1	27387.3	27315.4	27537.4
df	3	29	20	46	3	29	20	46
N	30,000	30,000	30,000	30,000	30,000	30,000	30,000	30,000
	DGP for Simulation 2				NHIS Data 1986–2004
	7-Year Categorical Cohorts				Masters et al. 2013
	A	AP	AC	APC	A	AP	AC	APC
Log Likelihood	−13013.7	−12973.5	−12982.9	−12963.8	−229337.3	−228055.6	−227994.5	−227873.3
AIC	26033.3	26005.0	26007.7	26019.7	458680.7	456153.1	456023.0	455816.7
BIC	26058.2	26246.0	26182.2	26410.2	458713.4	456382.3	456208.5	456198.5
df	3	29	20	46	3	21	17	35
N	30,000	30,000	30,000	30,000	404,782	404,782	404,782	404,782
	DGP for Simulation 3				NHIS Data 1976–2002
	3-Year Categorical Cohorts				Reither et al. 2009
	A	AP	AC	APC	A	AP	AC	APC
Log Likelihood	−19054.0	−18997.4	−18995.1	−1876.0	−764779.4	−751395.2	−751787.8	−751065.7
AIC	38113.9	38052.7	38032.2	38046.1	1529565.0	1502848.0	1503616.0	1502223.0
BIC	38138.8	38293.7	38206.7	38436.6	1529602.0	1503206.0	1503862.0	1502790.0
df	3	29	20	46	3	29	20	46
N	30,000	30,000	30,000	30,000	1,645,884	1,645,884	1,645,884	1,645,884

Note: BIC is the Bayesian Information Criterion and is estimated to be −2*log(L) + df*log(N). The model fit statistics were estimated for unweighted HAPC-CCFEMs. Results from the NHIS using weighted HAPC-CCFEMs and results from the NHIS using HAPC-CCREMs are consistent with those above.