Table 1. Example calculations.
CD4 count cells/mm 3 | Estimated incidence rate of HIV- related symptoms per person-year | Estimated standard error of HIV- related symptoms | Example calculation for point estimate | Example calculation for confidence interval | Example calculation for high estimate | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Number of observed HIV diagnoses with HIV-related symptoms in a year | Point estimate for the estimated number of person years lived with undiagnosed HIV in 2011 in stratum | 95% confidence interval for the estimated number of person years lived with undiagnosed HIV in 2011 in stratum | Number of observed HIV diagnoses in a year | High estimate for the estimated number of person years lived with undiagnosed HIV in 2011 in stratum | |||
0–19 | 4.030 | 0.582 | 5 | 1 | 0–3 | 9 | 2 |
20–49 | 1.442 | 0.168 | 14 | 10 | 5–16 | 19 | 13 |
50–99 | 0.872 | 0.081 | 14 | 16 | 8–26 | 25 | 29 |
100–149 | 0.440 | 0.044 | 7 | 16 | 5–30 | 22 | 50 |
150–199 | 0.216 | 0.022 | 13 | 60 | 29–100 | 31 | 144 |
200–249 | 0.090 | 0.010 | 3 | 33 a | 0–80 a | 34 | 378 a |
250–299 | 0.076 | 0.007 | 3 | 39 a | 0–94 a | 41 | 539 a |
300–349 | 0.048 | 0.005 | 4 | 83 a | 18–176 a | 57 | 1188 a |
Total (CD4 counts 0–200 cells/mm 3) | - | - | 53 | 103 | 51–165 | 106 | 238 |
Total (CD4 counts 0–350 cells/mm 3) | - | - | 63 | 258 a | 159–415 a | 238 | 2343 a |
Estimates for the number of person-years lived with undiagnosed HIV among MSM in the Netherlands in 2011, rounded to the nearest integer (not adjusted to take into account for missing CD4 counts or for reporting delay or under-reporting).
Note: Incidence rate and standard error of HIV-related symptoms obtained using data from the CASCADE cohort collaboration[16,17] (rate is two-fold the incidence of AIDS).
aThese estimates should be interpreted with more caution due to the rates of HIV-related symptoms being much lower in the higher CD4 count ranges.