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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2015 Mar 17.
Published in final edited form as: Clin Trials. 2013 Oct 1;10(6):862–875. doi: 10.1177/1740774513503521

Table 4.

Compared proportions of MTD recommendation and accuracy measure for the optimal design and CRM-L after 10,000 simulated trials. The true MTD is indicated in bold type. The target toxicity rate is 30% and the fixed sample size for each trial is 25 patients. First stage cohort size is 2.

Dose 1 2 3 4 5 6 A(n)
Scenario 7 0.05 0.15 0.30 0.40 0.50 0.60

CRM-L (A) 0.00 0.16 0.46 0.28 0.09 0.01 0.564
CRM-L (B) 0.01 0.16 0.42 0.30 0.10 0.01 0.521
Optimal 0.00 0.18 0.55 0.23 0.05 0.00 0.641

Scenario 8 0.08 0.12 0.20 0.30 0.42 0.53

CRM-L (A) 0.00 0.05 0.24 0.42 0.24 0.05 0.482
CRM-L (B) 0.00 0.04 0.22 0.41 0.26 0.07 0.459
Optimal 0.00 0.03 0.25 0.47 0.21 0.03 0.552

Scenario 9 0.30 0.38 0.45 0.55 0.70 0.80

CRM-L (A) 0.63 0.26 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.829
CRM-L (B) 0.63 0.24 0.11 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.823
Optimal 0.65 0.25 0.09 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.842

Scenario 10 0.02 0.05 0.10 0.15 0.23 0.30

CRM-L (A) 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.29 0.59 0.758
CRM-L (B) 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.24 0.67 0.807
Optimal 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.31 0.60 0.771

Scenario 11 0.18 0.28 0.36 0.44 0.52 0.65

CRM-L (A) 0.19 0.38 0.27 0.12 0.03 0.00 0.534
CRM-L (B) 0.20 0.33 0.30 0.14 0.04 0.00 0.496
Optimal 0.20 0.40 0.27 0.10 0.02 0.00 0.546

Scenario 12 0.01 0.03 0.05 0.12 0.30 0.46

CRM-L (A) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.54 0.32 0.598
CRM-L (B) 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.50 0.35 0.567
Optimal 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.71 0.17 0.745

Avg. A(n): CRM-L (A) = 0.628; CRM-L(B) = 0.612; Optimal = 0.684