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. 2015 Mar 18;53(4):1324–1330. doi: 10.1128/JCM.03239-14

TABLE 2.

Performance characteristics determined using a colonization index value of >0.5 and a corrected colonization index value of ≥0.3 (derived from culture results only; entire patient cohort included)

Variablea n RRb P value 95% confidence interval (low) 95% confidence interval (high) Sensitivity (%) Specificity (%) PPVc (%) NPVd (%)
Time point 1 (n studied = 6,015)
    At least 2 sites colonized (CIe ≥ 0.5) 1,671 2.25 0.0005 1.4 3.5 48 71 2 99
    All 3 sites colonized 342 2.25 0.016 1.16 4.34 14 94 3 99
    At least one site heavy density (CCIf ≥ 0.3) 1,549 3.7 <0.0001 2.36 5.93 58 74 3 99
    At least 2 sites heavy density 448 3.1 0.001 1.77 5.4 21 92 3 99
    At least throat heavy density 1,025 3.77 <0.0001 2.39 5.94 45 82 3 99
    At least perineum heavy density 703 2 0.01 1.15 3.46 22 88 2 99
    At least urine heavy density 327 NSg
Time point 2 (n studied = 3,244)
    At least 2 sites colonized (CI ≥ 0.5) 1,056 2.4 0.002 1.38 4.16 54 67 3 99
    All 3 sites colonized 238 NS
    At least one site heavy density (CCI ≥ 0.3) 915 3.24 <0.0001 1.86 5.63 56 72 3 99
    At least 2 sites heavy density 287 2.9 0.001 1.5 5.6 22 91 4 99
    At least throat heavy density 530 3.93 <0.0001 2.26 6.81 44 84 4 99
    At least perineum heavy density 481 NS
    At least urine heavy density 233 NS
Time point 3 (n studied = 1,820)
    At least 2 sites colonized (CI ≥ 0.5) 596 3.12 0.003 1.47 6.62 61 67 3 99
    All 3 sites colonized 122 NS
    At least one site heavy density (CCI ≥ 0.3) 480 2.1 0.05 0.99 4.39 43 74 3 99
    At least 2 sites heavy density 143 NS
    At least throat heavy density 253 2.83 0.009 1.3 6.2 32 86 4 99
    At least perineum heavy density 263 NS
    At least urine heavy density 126 NS
a

Time point 1, days 3 to 4 post-ICU admission; time point 2, days 6 to 8 post-ICU admission; time point 3, days 9 to 11 post-ICU admission.

b

RR, relative risk.

c

PPV, positive predictive value.

d

NPV, negative predictive value.

e

CI, uncorrected colonization index.

f

CCI, corrected colonization index.

g

NS, not significant.