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. 2014 Dec 16;60(7):1120–1127. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciu1137

Table 2.

Random-Effects Meta-regression Models Estimating Trends in CD4 Count at Time of Presentation to HIV Care and Antiretroviral Therapy Initiation—Sub-Saharan Africa, 2002–2013

Model Presentation to Care
Initiation of Antiretroviral Therapy
Studies β-Coefficient 95% CI P Value Studies β-Coefficient 95% CI P Value
Primary analyses 56 5.84 −10.7 to 22.4 .48 71 −1.13 −8.4 to 6.2 .76
Subanalyses
 Opportunistic infections studies excluded 52 5.39 −11.3 to 22.1 .52 69 −0.55 −8.0 to 6.9 .88
 PMTCT studies excluded 52 3.81 −14.1 to 21.7 .67 68 0.45 −4.8 to 5.7 .87
 South Africa only 13 39.9 9.2 to 70.7 .016 10 2.36 −22.5 to 27.2 .83
 Uganda only 11 4.20 −4.0 to 12.4 .28
Sensitivity analyses
 Excluded studies >3 years 43 1.38 −18.3 to 21.1 .89 41 5.50 −1.6 to 12.6 .13
 Disaggregated by yeara 56 6.52 −7.3 to 20.4 .35 71 3.91 −0.7 to 8.5 .10

Abbreviations: CI, confidence interval; PMTCT, prevention of mother-to-child transmission.

a Model disaggregated by year, estimated using bootstrapping to account for clustering of data within studies.